Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Holstein Kiel meet on 1 November 2026 · 12:30 at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth), under referee Lars Erbst. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.60 | 3.77 | 2.66 |
| Market average | 2.51 | 3.63 | 2.52 |
| Lowest odds | 2.40 | 3.39 | 2.42 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.55 | 60.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.35 | 39.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.38 | 39.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.46 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.54 | 36.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 Holstein Kiel, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 9th (12 points), Holstein Kiel 17th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2W 3D 4L (12:16), Holstein Kiel 1W 5D 3L (10:11).
- H2H: 15 matches: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6W 4D 5L, goals 22–22.
- Absences: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, Holstein Kiel 0.
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: injuries, suspensions, absences
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- No reported absences
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Home and away
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 9th, 12 points from 10 matches (3W 3D 4L). Holstein Kiel: 17th, 8 points (1W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded, Holstein Kiel 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: 2W 3D 4L, goals 12–16; Holstein Kiel: 1W 5D 3L, goals 10–11.
- Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 wins, Holstein Kiel 5 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 22–22.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 15; SpVgg Greuther Fürth 6 wins, 4 draws, Holstein Kiel 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 12–16, Holstein Kiel 10–11.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0, Holstein Kiel 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Not available for Holstein Kiel: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
SpVgg Greuther FürthWLWLDHolstein KielLWDLDSpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: head to head
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SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
On the result, our pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (1X) (1.55); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for SpVgg Greuther Fürth or draw (1X).
Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Holstein Kiel?
As we see it: SpVgg Greuther Fürth to win 37%, the draw 26%, Holstein Kiel to win 37%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 12:30, at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth. Referee: Lars Erbst.
Who will be missing?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: no absences. Holstein Kiel: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.61), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 1–2 (8.4%), 2–1 (8.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.