Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel and Dynamo Dresden meet on 25 October 2026 · 12:30 at Holstein-Stadion (Kiel), under referee Timo Gerach. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.35 | 3.84 | 2.96 |
| Market average | 2.26 | 3.67 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.56 | 60.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.35 | 39.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.51 | 2.38 | 39.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.47 | 62.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.50 | 37.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Holstein Kiel 1–1 Dynamo Dresden, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Holstein Kiel 17th (8 points), Dynamo Dresden 18th (8 points).
- H2H: 15 matches: Holstein Kiel 11W 2D 2L, goals 28–8.
- Absences: Holstein Kiel 0, Dynamo Dresden 0.
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: injuries, suspensions, absences
Holstein Kiel
- No reported absences
Dynamo Dresden
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Holstein Kiel
Home and away
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Holstein Kiel: 17th, 8 points from 10 matches (1W 5D 4L). Dynamo Dresden: 18th, 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Holstein Kiel 11 wins, Dynamo Dresden 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 28–8.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 63% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 15; Holstein Kiel 11 wins, 2 draws, Dynamo Dresden 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Holstein Kiel 0, Dynamo Dresden 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 63%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Holstein Kiel: no absences. Not available for Dynamo Dresden: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: head to head
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Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
On the result, our pick is Holstein Kiel or draw (1X) (1.45); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Holstein Kiel or draw (1X).
Who will win Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden?
As we see it: Holstein Kiel to win 42%, the draw 26%, Dynamo Dresden to win 33%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 12:30, at Holstein-Stadion, Kiel. Referee: Timo Gerach.
Who will be missing?
Holstein Kiel: no absences. Dynamo Dresden: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.61), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 63% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–2 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.