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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 4 · 5 November 2026 · 17:45

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Levski Sofia2.07
XDraw3.75
2Jagiellonia3.79

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 03:28

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Levski Sofia and Jagiellonia meet on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at National Stadium Vasil Levski (Sofia). Levski Sofia (47%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: tip and prediction
Result
Levski Sofia to win
2.07
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
47%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Levski Sofia or draw (1X) – probability 74%, odds up to 1.31.

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Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.073.753.79
Market average1.993.543.55
Lowest odds1.953.063.12
Megapari2.003.753.79
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2475.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.831.8052.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.072.0147.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.9532.0%
BTTS – yes1.701.6756.0%
BTTS – no2.202.1244.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 03:28. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:39. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Levski Sofia 1–1 Jagiellonia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Levski Sofia 17th (4 points), Jagiellonia 27th (3 points).
  • Form in the competition: Levski Sofia 1W 1D 1L (3:3), Jagiellonia 4W 1D 2L (13:9).
  • Absences: Levski Sofia 0, Jagiellonia 0.

Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?

Levski Sofia47%
Draw26%
Jagiellonia26%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.8% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.26
Likely
Levski Sofia or draw (1X)73.6% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.0% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.83
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.07
Outsider
Levski Sofia to win47.1% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.07
Outsider
Both teams score: no44.0% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.0% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.75
Outsider
Jagiellonia to win26.4% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.79
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.87 · Under 1.85
probability of over 49.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.8%
1 : 010.2%
2 : 19.4%
2 : 08.2%
0 : 17.4%
1 : 26.8%

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: injuries, suspensions, absences

Levski Sofia

  • No reported absences

Jagiellonia

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Levski Sofia

22 OctWPlzeň 1–2 Levski Sofia
15 OctDNEC Nijmegen 1–1 Levski Sofia
17 SeptLLevski Sofia 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg

Jagiellonia

22 OctLJagiellonia 0–3 Anderlecht
15 OctWJagiellonia 3–1 Ararat-Armenia
16 SeptLOlympiakos Piraeus 2–1 Jagiellonia
27 AugWFC Iberia 1999 1–2 Jagiellonia
20 AugWJagiellonia 4–0 FC Iberia 1999

Home and away

Levski Sofia at home1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1
Jagiellonia away1 match: 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–2

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Levski Sofia: 17th, 4 points from 3 matches (1W 1D 1L). Jagiellonia: 27th, 3 points (1W 0D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Levski Sofia 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, Jagiellonia 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Levski Sofia: 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–3; Jagiellonia: 4W 1D 2L, goals 13–9.

What to expect

We make Levski Sofia the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Levski Sofia 3–3, Jagiellonia 13–9.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
  3. Not available: Levski Sofia 0, Jagiellonia 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Levski Sofia: no absences. Not available for Jagiellonia: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: the numbers side by side

Levski SofiaJagiellonia
31%Form69%
23%Attack77%
70%Defence30%
41.3%Overall58.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Levski SofiaWDL
JagielloniaLWL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?

On the result, our pick is Levski Sofia to win (2.07); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Levski Sofia or draw (1X).

Who will win Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia?

As we see it: Levski Sofia to win 47%, the draw 26%, Jagiellonia to win 26%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 17:45, at National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia.

Who will be missing?

Levski Sofia: no absences. Jagiellonia: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.83), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.07).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.8%), 1–0 (10.2%), 2–1 (9.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.