Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hertha BSC entertain Arminia Bielefeld on 24 October 2026 · 12:00 at Olympiastadion (Berlin), with Cristian Ballweg, Germany the man in the middle. Hertha BSC (52%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.87 | 4.05 | 4.16 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.84 | 3.98 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.51 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 10:33. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Hertha BSC 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hertha BSC 1st (28 points), Arminia Bielefeld 7th (14 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Hertha BSC 3W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: injuries, suspensions, absences
Hertha BSC
- No reported absences
Arminia Bielefeld
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 | |
| 2 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 | |
| 8 | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 | |
| 18 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
Recent matches
Hertha BSC
Home and away
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Hertha BSC: 1st, 28 points from 10 matches (9W 1D 0L). Arminia Bielefeld: 7th, 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Hertha BSC 3 wins, Arminia Bielefeld 2 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 8–9.
What to expect
We make Hertha BSC the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Hertha BSC 3 wins, 4 draws, Arminia Bielefeld 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.9 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Hertha BSC: no absences. Not available for Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: head to head
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Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
On the result, our pick is Hertha BSC to win (1.87); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.56). Prefer less risk? Go for Hertha BSC or draw (1X).
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
As we see it: Hertha BSC to win 52%, the draw 25%, Arminia Bielefeld to win 24%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 12:00, at Olympiastadion, Berlin. Referee: Cristian Ballweg, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Hertha BSC: no absences. Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.65), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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