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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón tip, odds and prediction, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Guijuelo
1–3
1Guijuelo8.50
XDraw4.90
2Sporting Gijón1.41

Top odds available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Guijuelo entertain Sporting Gijón on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos (Guijuelo). Sporting Gijón (67%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: tip and prediction
Result
Sporting Gijón to win
1.41
Goals
At least one team fails to score
1.75
Combo
Sporting Gijón & over 2.5 goals
2.43
41% · fair combo odds
67%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Sporting Gijón (X2) – probability 87%, odds up to 1.10.

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Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available8.504.901.41
Market average7.384.451.39
Lowest odds6.504.101.33
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7952.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.021.9647.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8732.1%
BTTS – yes2.052.0046.1%
BTTS – no1.751.7253.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Guijuelo 0–2 Sporting Gijón, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Guijuelo 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–6.
  • Absences: Guijuelo 0, Sporting Gijón 0.

Who will win Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

Guijuelo13%
Draw21%
Sporting Gijón67%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: more betting markets

Draw or Sporting Gijón (X2)87.4% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Sporting Gijón to win66.6% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.41
Likely
Both teams score: no53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.02
Outsider
Both teams score: yes46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.1% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.90
Outsider
Guijuelo to win12.6% · fair odds 7.97 · best 8.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 212.8%
0 : 112.8%
1 : 29.6%
1 : 19.6%
0 : 38.5%
1 : 36.4%

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: injuries, suspensions, absences

Guijuelo

  • No reported absences

Sporting Gijón

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Guijuelo 0 wins, Sporting Gijón 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 1–6.

What to expect

We make Sporting Gijón the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (12.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like At least one team fails to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 2; Guijuelo 0 wins, 0 draws, Sporting Gijón 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  4. Not available: Guijuelo 0, Sporting Gijón 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Guijuelo: no absences. Not available for Sporting Gijón: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: the numbers side by side

GuijueloSporting Gijón
0%Head to head100%
0%Goals100%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: head to head

All matches
0Guijuelo
0Draws
2Sporting Gijón
29/10/26 · Guijuelo 1–3 Sporting Gijón
1/11/23 · Guijuelo 0–3 Sporting Gijón

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

On the result, our pick is Sporting Gijón to win (1.41); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Sporting Gijón (X2).

Who will win Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

As we see it: Guijuelo to win 13%, the draw 21%, Sporting Gijón to win 67%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

29 October 2026, 19:00, at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo.

Who will be missing?

Guijuelo: no absences. Sporting Gijón: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.80), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.05).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–2 (12.8%), 0–1 (12.8%), 1–2 (9.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.