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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 18:00

Portugalete vs Real Unión tip, odds and prediction, 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Portugalete
VS
Real Unión
1Portugalete3.05
XDraw3.30
2Real Unión2.38

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 00:30

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Portugalete and Real Unión meet on 4 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio La Florida (Portugalete). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Portugalete vs Real Unión: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Real Unión (X2)
1.36
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
69%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Portugalete vs Real Unión: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.053.302.38
Market average2.993.192.31
Lowest odds2.903.042.25
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3170.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.062.0246.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.7453.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.4126.9%
BTTS – yes1.801.7852.1%
BTTS – no1.961.9447.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 00:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Portugalete 1–1 Real Unión, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • H2H: 3 matches: Portugalete 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–3.
  • Absences: Portugalete 0, Real Unión 0.

Who will win Portugalete vs Real Unión?

Portugalete31%
Draw29%
Real Unión40%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Portugalete vs Real Unión: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals73.1% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.3% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.34
Likely
Draw or Real Unión (X2)69.1% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 2.5 goals53.7% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: yes52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: no47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 1.96
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals46.3% · fair odds 2.16 · best 2.06
Outsider
Real Unión to win40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.38
Outsider
Portugalete to win30.9% · fair odds 3.24 · best 3.05
Outsider
Draw29.1% · fair odds 3.44 · best 3.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.9% · fair odds 3.72 · best 3.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.7%
0 : 111.1%
1 : 09.4%
1 : 28.6%
0 : 08.2%
0 : 27.5%

Portugalete vs Real Unión: injuries, suspensions, absences

Portugalete

  • No reported absences

Real Unión

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Portugalete vs Real Unión: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: Portugalete 1 win, Real Unión 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 4–3.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 3; Portugalete 1 win, 1 draw, Real Unión 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
  4. Not available: Portugalete 0, Real Unión 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Portugalete: no absences. Not available for Real Unión: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Portugalete vs Real Unión: the numbers side by side

PortugaleteReal Unión
50%Head to head50%
57%Goals43%
53.5%Overall46.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Portugalete vs Real Unión: head to head

1Portugalete
1Draws
1Real Unión
9/8/25 · Real Unión 1–1 Portugalete
21/3/21 · Portugalete 2–0 Real Unión
20/12/20 · Real Unión 2–1 Portugalete

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Portugalete vs Real Unión: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Portugalete vs Real Unión?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Real Unión (X2) (1.36); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Real Unión (X2).

Who will win Portugalete vs Real Unión?

As we see it: Portugalete to win 31%, the draw 29%, Real Unión to win 40%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

4 November 2026, 18:00, at Estadio La Florida, Portugalete.

Who will be missing?

Portugalete: no absences. Real Unión: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.06), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.80).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 0–1 (11.1%), 1–0 (9.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.