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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 19:00

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés tip, odds and prediction, 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Amorebieta
VS
UD Logroñés
1Amorebieta4.50
XDraw3.90
2UD Logroñés1.81

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 00:30

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Amorebieta entertain UD Logroñés on 4 November 2026 · 19:00 at Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano). UD Logroñés (52%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: tip and prediction
Result
UD Logroñés to win
1.81
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Combo
UD Logroñés & over 2.5 goals
2.98
34% · fair combo odds
52%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or UD Logroñés (X2) – probability 77%, odds up to 1.22.

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Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.503.901.81
Market average4.103.661.78
Lowest odds3.713.411.75
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.741.7254.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.102.0445.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7034.0%
BTTS – yes1.671.6456.3%
BTTS – no2.202.1243.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 00:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Amorebieta 1–1 UD Logroñés, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 8 matches: Amorebieta 3W 3D 2L, goals 8–9.
  • Absences: Amorebieta 0, UD Logroñés 0.

Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?

Amorebieta23%
Draw25%
UD Logroñés52%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: more betting markets

Draw or UD Logroñés (X2)77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals76.0% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.0% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.42
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.2% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.74
Possible
UD Logroñés to win52.0% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.81
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.8% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.0% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.90
Outsider
Amorebieta to win22.7% · fair odds 4.41 · best 4.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.02 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.1%
0 : 110.1%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 28.9%
1 : 06.4%
2 : 16.1%

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: injuries, suspensions, absences

Amorebieta

  • No reported absences

UD Logroñés

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Amorebieta 3 wins, UD Logroñés 2 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 8–9.

What to expect

We make UD Logroñés the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 8; Amorebieta 3 wins, 3 draws, UD Logroñés 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
  4. Not available: Amorebieta 0, UD Logroñés 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Amorebieta: no absences. Not available for UD Logroñés: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: the numbers side by side

AmorebietaUD Logroñés
62%Head to head38%
46%Goals54%
54.0%Overall46.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: head to head

3Amorebieta
3Draws
2UD Logroñés
18/1/26 · UD Logroñés 4–1 Amorebieta
18/10/25 · Amorebieta 2–1 UD Logroñés
23/4/23 · Amorebieta 1–0 UD Logroñés
27/11/22 · UD Logroñés 1–1 Amorebieta
24/7/21 · Amorebieta 1–1 UD Logroñés
16/12/20 · Amorebieta 1–0 UD Logroñés

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.9%

Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?

On the result, our pick is UD Logroñés to win (1.81); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or UD Logroñés (X2).

Who will win Amorebieta vs UD Logroñés?

As we see it: Amorebieta to win 23%, the draw 25%, UD Logroñés to win 52%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

4 November 2026, 19:00, at Campo Municipal de Urritxe, Amorebieta-Etxano.

Who will be missing?

Amorebieta: no absences. UD Logroñés: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.74), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.10).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 0–1 (10.1%), 1–2 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.