Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers takes place on 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Oriel Park (Dundalk); P. McLaughlin will referee. We back Shamrock Rovers (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.52 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
| Market average | 3.29 | 3.59 | 2.00 |
| Lowest odds | 3.02 | 3.28 | 1.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.61 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.25 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Dundalk 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundalk 6th (45 points), Shamrock Rovers 1st (68 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundalk 10W 12D 13L (52:58), Shamrock Rovers 20W 8D 7L (58:35).
- H2H: 30 matches: Dundalk 12W 6D 12L, goals 33–40.
- Absences: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: injuries, suspensions, absences
Dundalk
- No reported absences
Shamrock Rovers
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Dundalk
Home and away
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Dundalk: 6th, 45 points from 36 matches (11W 12D 13L). Shamrock Rovers: 1st, 68 points (20W 8D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Dundalk 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded, Shamrock Rovers 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Dundalk: 10W 12D 13L, goals 52–58; Shamrock Rovers: 20W 8D 7L, goals 58–35.
- Head to head. Head to head over 30 meetings: Dundalk 12 wins, Shamrock Rovers 12 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 33–40.
What to expect
We make Shamrock Rovers the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.0%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 30; Dundalk 12 wins, 6 draws, Shamrock Rovers 12 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Dundalk 52–58, Shamrock Rovers 58–35.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.53). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Dundalk: no absences. Not available for Shamrock Rovers: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
DundalkWLDLLShamrock RoversLWLWWDundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: head to head
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Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
On the result, our pick is Shamrock Rovers to win (2.05); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.54). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Shamrock Rovers (X2).
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
As we see it: Dundalk to win 28%, the draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers to win 46%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 19:45, at Oriel Park, Dundalk. Referee: P. McLaughlin.
Who will be missing?
Dundalk: no absences. Shamrock Rovers: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.62), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.0%), 1–2 (9.4%), 0–1 (8.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.