Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Covadonga v Valladolid takes place on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio El Bayu (Pola de Siero). We back Valladolid (78%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Covadonga vs Valladolid: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 14.25 | 7.00 | 1.22 |
| Market average | 12.73 | 6.29 | 1.20 |
| Lowest odds | 10.75 | 5.80 | 1.17 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.46 | 62.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.48 | 37.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.20 | 2.05 | 45.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.73 | 1.69 | 54.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Covadonga 0–2 Valladolid, roughly 4 goals in total.
- H2H: 1 match: Covadonga 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1.
- Absences: Covadonga 0, Valladolid 0.
Who will win Covadonga vs Valladolid?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Covadonga vs Valladolid: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Covadonga vs Valladolid: injuries, suspensions, absences
Covadonga
- No reported absences
Valladolid
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Covadonga vs Valladolid: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Covadonga 0 wins, Valladolid 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 0–1.
What to expect
We make Valladolid the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (12.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.22, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 45% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Covadonga 0 wins, 0 draws, Valladolid 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: Covadonga 0, Valladolid 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.63). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Covadonga: no absences. Not available for Valladolid: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Covadonga vs Valladolid: head to head
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Covadonga vs Valladolid: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Covadonga vs Valladolid?
On the result, our pick is Valladolid to win (1.22); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Valladolid (X2).
Who will win Covadonga vs Valladolid?
As we see it: Covadonga to win 7%, the draw 15%, Valladolid to win 78%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
29 October 2026, 19:00, at Estadio El Bayu, Pola de Siero.
Who will be missing?
Covadonga: no absences. Valladolid: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.50), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 45% (odds 2.20).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (12.6%), 0–3 (10.7%), 0–1 (9.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.