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UEFA Europa League · league phase, matchday 3 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg tip, odds and prediction, 22 October 2026, UEFA Europa League

1Celje6.25
XDraw4.85
2Red Bull Salzburg1.54

Top odds available · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Celje entertain Red Bull Salzburg on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stadion Z’dežele (Celje), with John Brooks the man in the middle. Red Bull Salzburg (63%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: tip and prediction
Result
Red Bull Salzburg to win
1.54
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.52
Combo
Red Bull Salzburg & over 2.5 goals
2.20
46% · fair combo odds
63%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Red Bull Salzburg (X2) – probability 84%, odds up to 1.16.

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Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available6.254.851.54
Market average5.904.571.51
Lowest odds5.504.331.47
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.161.1482.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.521.5062.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.622.5237.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.352.2642.0%
BTTS – yes1.671.6157.9%
BTTS – no2.302.2142.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Celje 1–2 Red Bull Salzburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Celje 29th (1 point), Red Bull Salzburg 21st (4 points).
  • H2H: 1 match: Celje 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2.
  • Absences: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.

Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?

Celje16%
Draw21%
Red Bull Salzburg63%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: more betting markets

Draw or Red Bull Salzburg (X2)83.9% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.1% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.16
Likely
Red Bull Salzburg to win63.1% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.54
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.6% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: no42.1% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.35
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.4% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.62
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.80 · best 4.85
Outsider
Celje to win16.1% · fair odds 6.20 · best 6.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.85 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.5%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.19 · Under 1.64
probability of over 42.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 29.9%
0 : 29.4%
1 : 19.0%
0 : 18.5%
1 : 37.2%
0 : 36.9%

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: injuries, suspensions, absences

Celje

  • No reported absences

Red Bull Salzburg

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Benfica33-0-010:29
2Bayer Leverkusen33-0-08:09
3Bournemouth33-0-08:19
4Ferencvárosi TC33-0-09:39
5Olympiakos Piraeus33-0-04:19
6Union St. Gilloise32-1-08:17
7Juventus32-1-09:37
8Beşiktaş32-1-09:57
9Sunderland32-1-04:27
10AZ Alkmaar32-0-16:26
11Omonia Nicosia32-0-15:46
12Lyon32-0-15:66
13Rennes31-2-04:35
14Real Sociedad31-1-18:34
15Crystal Palace31-1-18:54
16Sparta Praha31-1-15:34
17Levski Sofia31-1-13:34
18Dinamo Zagreb31-1-13:44
19Sturm Graz31-1-11:34
20NEC Nijmegen31-1-15:84
21Red Bull Salzburg31-1-13:64
22Anderlecht31-0-24:33
231899 Hoffenheim31-0-25:53
24AC Milan31-0-24:53
25Celta Vigo31-0-23:43
26OFI31-0-23:43
27Jagiellonia31-0-24:63
28Torreense31-0-24:73
29Celje30-1-22:71
30Hapoel Beer Sheva30-1-21:61
31Lillestrøm30-1-22:91
32Lech Poznań30-1-21:91
33Plzeň30-0-32:70
34Marseille30-0-31:60
35Celtic30-0-33:90
36Ararat-Armenia30-0-32:110

Recent matches

Celje

22 OctDCelje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg
15 OctLCelje 0–3 Omonia Nicosia
16 SeptLBayer Leverkusen 2–0 Celje

Red Bull Salzburg

22 OctDCelje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg
15 OctLRed Bull Salzburg 0–4 AC Milan
17 SeptWLevski Sofia 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg
27 AugWRed Bull Salzburg 3–0 Mjällby AIF
20 AugWMjällby AIF 0–1 Red Bull Salzburg

Home and away

Celje at home2 matches: 0W 1D 1L, goals 2–5
Red Bull Salzburg away2 matches: 1W 1D 0L, goals 3–2

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Celje: 29th, 1 point from 3 matches (0W 1D 2L). Red Bull Salzburg: 21st, 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Celje 0 wins, Red Bull Salzburg 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 2–2.

What to expect

We make Red Bull Salzburg the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Celje 0 wins, 1 draw, Red Bull Salzburg 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
  4. Not available: Celje 0, Red Bull Salzburg 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Celje: no absences. Not available for Red Bull Salzburg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: head to head

All matches
0Celje
1Draws
0Red Bull Salzburg
22/10/26 · Celje 2–2 Red Bull Salzburg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.3%

Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?

On the result, our pick is Red Bull Salzburg to win (1.54); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Red Bull Salzburg (X2).

Who will win Celje vs Red Bull Salzburg?

As we see it: Celje to win 16%, the draw 21%, Red Bull Salzburg to win 63%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

22 October 2026, 20:00, at Stadion Z’dežele, Celje. Referee: John Brooks.

Who will be missing?

Celje: no absences. Red Bull Salzburg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.52), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.62).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–2 (9.9%), 0–2 (9.4%), 1–1 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Rennes vs Olympiakos Piraeus 4 NovCrystal Palace vs 1899 Hoffenheim 5 NovLillestrøm vs Plzeň 5 NovNEC Nijmegen vs Omonia Nicosia 5 NovAC Milan vs Ferencvárosi TC 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.