Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Castellonense entertain Almería on 27 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estadio Municipal de Castalia. Almería (65%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Castellonense vs Almería: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 7.22 | 4.60 | 1.49 |
| Market average | 6.73 | 4.29 | 1.43 |
| Lowest odds | 6.09 | 4.00 | 1.36 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 75.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.74 | 53.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 2.02 | 46.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.76 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.89 | 49.1% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.83 | 50.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Castellonense 0–2 Almería, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Castellonense 0, Almería 0.
Who will win Castellonense vs Almería?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Castellonense vs Almería: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Castellonense vs Almería: injuries, suspensions, absences
Castellonense
- No reported absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Castellonense vs Almería: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
What to expect
We make Almería the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (12.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Not available: Castellonense 0, Almería 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Castellonense: no absences. Not available for Almería: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Castellonense vs Almería: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Castellonense vs Almería?
On the result, our pick is Almería to win (1.49); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Almería (X2).
Who will win Castellonense vs Almería?
As we see it: Castellonense to win 14%, the draw 22%, Almería to win 65%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 18:45, at Estadio Municipal de Castalia.
Who will be missing?
Castellonense: no absences. Almería: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.76), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.08).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.91).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (12.2%), 0–1 (12.2%), 1–2 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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