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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 20:00

Xerez vs Cádiz tip, odds and prediction, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Xerez
1–3
1Xerez4.00
XDraw3.80
2Cádiz2.10

Top odds available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Xerez v Cádiz takes place on 29 October 2026 · 20:00. We back Cádiz (47%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Xerez vs Cádiz: tip and prediction
Result
Cádiz to win
2.10
Goals
Both teams to score
1.65
47%chance of the result
58%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Cádiz (X2) – probability 74%, odds up to 1.29.

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Xerez vs Cádiz: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.003.802.10
Market average3.543.441.97
Lowest odds3.193.171.79
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.731.7054.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.0645.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6634.6%
BTTS – yes1.651.6057.9%
BTTS – no2.302.2042.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Xerez 1–1 Cádiz, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Xerez 0W 1D 1L, goals 1–3.
  • Absences: Xerez 0, Cádiz 0.

Who will win Xerez vs Cádiz?

Xerez26%
Draw27%
Cádiz47%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Xerez vs Cádiz: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals76.1% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or Cádiz (X2)73.8% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
Cádiz to win47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.15
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.80
Outsider
Xerez to win26.2% · fair odds 3.82 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.67 · Under 2.04
probability of over 55.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
0 : 19.5%
1 : 29.4%
0 : 27.9%
1 : 06.9%
2 : 16.9%

Xerez vs Cádiz: injuries, suspensions, absences

Xerez

  • No reported absences

Cádiz

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Xerez vs Cádiz: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Xerez 0 wins, Cádiz 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 1–3.

What to expect

We make Cádiz the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.65), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 2; Xerez 0 wins, 1 draw, Cádiz 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  4. Not available: Xerez 0, Cádiz 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Xerez: no absences. Not available for Cádiz: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Xerez vs Cádiz: the numbers side by side

XerezCádiz
50%Head to head50%
50.0%Overall50.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Xerez vs Cádiz: head to head

All matches
0Xerez
1Draws
1Cádiz
29/10/26 · Xerez 1–3 Cádiz
30/11/22 · Xerez 0–0 Cádiz

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.5%

Xerez vs Cádiz: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Xerez vs Cádiz?

On the result, our pick is Cádiz to win (2.10); on goals, Both teams to score (1.65). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Cádiz (X2).

Who will win Xerez vs Cádiz?

As we see it: Xerez to win 26%, the draw 27%, Cádiz to win 47%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

29 October 2026, 20:00, at to be confirmed.

Who will be missing?

Xerez: no absences. Cádiz: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.73), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.65).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 0–1 (9.5%), 1–2 (9.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.