Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfL Bochum entertain FSV Mainz 05 on 27 October 2026 · 17:00 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum), with M. Bacher the man in the middle. FSV Mainz 05 (56%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.02 | 4.35 | 1.78 |
| Market average | 4.54 | 4.01 | 1.65 |
| Lowest odds | 4.10 | 3.74 | 1.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.15 | 81.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.55 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.41 | 2.37 | 39.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.32 | 40.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.56 | 59.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.29 | 40.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 16:22. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: VfL Bochum 1–2 FSV Mainz 05, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: VfL Bochum 1W 0D 0L (2:1), FSV Mainz 05 1W 0D 0L (9:0).
- H2H: 11 matches: VfL Bochum 3W 2D 6L, goals 15–21.
- Absences: VfL Bochum 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: injuries, suspensions, absences
VfL Bochum
- No reported absences
FSV Mainz 05
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: VfL Bochum 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, FSV Mainz 05 9.0 scored and 0.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. VfL Bochum: 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–1; FSV Mainz 05: 1W 0D 0L, goals 9–0.
- Head to head. Head to head over 11 meetings: VfL Bochum 3 wins, FSV Mainz 05 6 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 15–21.
What to expect
We make FSV Mainz 05 the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), with a probability of 60% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 11; VfL Bochum 3 wins, 2 draws, FSV Mainz 05 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: VfL Bochum 2–1, FSV Mainz 05 9–0.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: VfL Bochum 0, FSV Mainz 05 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for VfL Bochum: no absences. Not available for FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
VfL BochumWFSV Mainz 05WVfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
On the result, our pick is FSV Mainz 05 to win (1.78); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.60). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or FSV Mainz 05 (X2).
Who will win VfL Bochum vs FSV Mainz 05?
As we see it: VfL Bochum to win 21%, the draw 23%, FSV Mainz 05 to win 56%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 17:00, at Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum. Referee: M. Bacher.
Who will be missing?
VfL Bochum: no absences. FSV Mainz 05: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.60), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.41).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–2 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.9%), 0–2 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.