Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:30 at Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht); Martijn Vos will referee. We back Utrecht (57%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.70 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 4.14 | 4.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.30 | 40.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Utrecht 2–1 PEC Zwolle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Utrecht 12th (12 points), PEC Zwolle 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Utrecht 3W 2D 4L (16:26), PEC Zwolle 2W 1D 6L (10:22).
- H2H: 31 matches: Utrecht 14W 12D 5L, goals 58–38.
- Absences: Utrecht 8, PEC Zwolle 3.
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: injuries, suspensions, absences
Utrecht
- A. Engwandahamstring injury · will miss the match
- V. Jensenknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Jonathansknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Ohioknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Paredesknee injury · will miss the match
- V. Barkasnot in the squad · doubtful
- M. Broholmnot in the squad · doubtful
- A. Stepanovankle injury · doubtful
PEC Zwolle
- S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
- F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Y. Namliknee injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Utrecht
Home and away
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Utrecht: 12th, 12 points from 11 matches (3W 3D 5L). PEC Zwolle: 14th, 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Utrecht 1.8 scored and 2.9 conceded, PEC Zwolle 1.1 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Utrecht: 3W 2D 4L, goals 16–26; PEC Zwolle: 2W 1D 6L, goals 10–22.
- Head to head. Head to head over 31 meetings: Utrecht 14 wins, PEC Zwolle 5 wins, plus 12 draws; goals 58–38.
What to expect
We make Utrecht the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 31; Utrecht 14 wins, 12 draws, PEC Zwolle 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Utrecht 16–26, PEC Zwolle 10–22.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Utrecht 8, PEC Zwolle 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas, M. Broholm, A. Stepanov. Not available for PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, Y. Namli. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
UtrechtLDWWLPEC ZwolleWDWLLUtrecht vs PEC Zwolle: head to head
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Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
On the result, our pick is Utrecht to win (1.70); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Utrecht or draw (1X).
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
As we see it: Utrecht to win 57%, the draw 23%, PEC Zwolle to win 20%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:30, at Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht. Referee: Martijn Vos.
Who will be missing?
Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas, M. Broholm, A. Stepanov. PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, Y. Namli. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.57), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.