Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
UCD and Longford Town meet on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at UCD Bowl (Dublin). UCD (48%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
UCD vs Longford Town: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.97 | 3.80 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.56 | 3.42 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.20 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.40 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.52 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.27 | 40.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: UCD 1–1 Longford Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: UCD 2nd (56 points), Longford Town 5th (52 points).
- Form in the competition: UCD 17W 8D 12L (69:51), Longford Town 14W 10D 13L (49:48).
- H2H: 18 matches: UCD 10W 5D 3L, goals 26–16.
- Absences: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
UCD vs Longford Town: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
UCD vs Longford Town: injuries, suspensions, absences
UCD
- No reported absences
Longford Town
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
UCD vs Longford Town: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23-6-7 | 74:35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16-8-12 | 67:51 | 56 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15-9-12 | 67:53 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry FC | 36 | 14-10-12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14-10-12 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 6 |  Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14-7-15 | 46:54 | 49 |
| 7 |  Athlone Town | 36 | 13-9-14 | 42:43 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wexford | 36 | 11-9-16 | 44:58 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11-9-16 | 37:53 | 42 |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 36 | 7-7-22 | 33:70 | 28 |
Recent matches
UCD
Home and away
UCD vs Longford Town: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. UCD: 2nd, 56 points from 36 matches (16W 8D 12L). Longford Town: 5th, 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: UCD 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded, Longford Town 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. UCD: 17W 8D 12L, goals 69–51; Longford Town: 14W 10D 13L, goals 49–48.
- Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: UCD 10 wins, Longford Town 3 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 26–16.
What to expect
We make UCD the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 18; UCD 10 wins, 5 draws, Longford Town 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: UCD 69–51, Longford Town 49–48.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for UCD: no absences. Not available for Longford Town: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
UCD vs Longford Town: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
UCDWWWWDLongford TownLLWDDUCD vs Longford Town: head to head
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UCD vs Longford Town: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for UCD vs Longford Town?
On the result, our pick is UCD to win (1.97); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.53). Prefer less risk? Go for UCD or draw (1X).
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
As we see it: UCD to win 48%, the draw 26%, Longford Town to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 19:45, at UCD Bowl, Dublin.
Who will be missing?
UCD: no absences. Longford Town: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.65), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (8.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.