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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 24 October 2026 · 19:30

Longford Town vs UCD tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

0–2
WWWWD
1Longford Town3.20
XDraw3.40
2UCD2.31

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Longford Town v UCD takes place on 24 October 2026 · 19:30 at Bishopsgate (Longford). We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Longford Town vs UCD: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or UCD (X2)
1.39
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
69%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Longford Town vs UCD: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.203.402.31
Market average2.903.262.22
Lowest odds2.393.002.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2075.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.741.6754.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.112.0145.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.6534.6%
BTTS – yes1.621.5558.7%
BTTS – no2.322.2141.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Longford Town 1–1 UCD, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Longford Town 5th (52 points), UCD 2nd (56 points).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Longford Town 3W 5D 10L, goals 16–26.
  • Absences: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.

Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?

Longford Town31%
Draw28%
UCD41%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Longford Town vs UCD: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.8% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or UCD (X2)68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.39
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.74
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.11
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.32
Outsider
UCD to win40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.31
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.88
Outsider
Longford Town to win31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw27.8% · fair odds 3.60 · best 3.40
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.95 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 19.1%
1 : 28.9%
1 : 07.9%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 26.8%

Longford Town vs UCD: injuries, suspensions, absences

Longford Town

  • No reported absences

UCD

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Longford Town vs UCD: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Longford Town

27 OctLUCD 2–0 Longford Town
24 OctLLongford Town 0–2 UCD
16 OctWLongford Town 1–0 Athlone Town
9 OctDUCD 1–1 Longford Town
2 OctDWexford 3–3 Longford Town

UCD

1 NovWBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWUCD 2–0 Longford Town
24 OctWLongford Town 0–2 UCD
16 OctWWexford 2–5 UCD
9 OctDUCD 1–1 Longford Town

Home and away

Longford Town at home18 matches: 10W 2D 6L, goals 26–17
UCD away18 matches: 6W 5D 7L, goals 30–28

Longford Town vs UCD: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Longford Town: 5th, 52 points from 36 matches (14W 10D 12L). UCD: 2nd, 56 points (16W 8D 12L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Longford Town 3 wins, UCD 10 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 16–26.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Longford Town 3 wins, 5 draws, UCD 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  4. Not available: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Longford Town: no absences. Not available for UCD: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Longford Town vs UCD: head to head

All matches
3Longford Town
5Draws
10UCD
27/10/26 · UCD 2–0 Longford Town
24/10/26 · Longford Town 0–2 UCD
9/10/26 · UCD 1–1 Longford Town
4/7/26 · Longford Town 2–1 UCD
1/5/26 · UCD 2–0 Longford Town
7/3/26 · Longford Town 0–0 UCD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.5%

Longford Town vs UCD: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Longford Town vs UCD?

On the result, our pick is Draw or UCD (X2) (1.39); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or UCD (X2).

Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?

As we see it: Longford Town to win 31%, the draw 28%, UCD to win 41%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 19:30, at Bishopsgate, Longford.

Who will be missing?

Longford Town: no absences. UCD: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.74), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.11).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 0–1 (9.1%), 1–2 (8.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.