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League One · Matchweek 12 · 20 October 2026 · 19:45

Stevenage vs Plymouth tip, odds and prediction, 20 October 2026, League One

3–0
1Stevenage2.78
XDraw3.50
2Plymouth2.55

Top odds available · Updated 20/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Stevenage v Plymouth takes place on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage). We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Stevenage vs Plymouth: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Plymouth (X2)
1.47
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
65%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Stevenage vs Plymouth: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.783.502.55
Market average2.703.352.48
Lowest odds2.543.072.43
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2673.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.921.8650.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.981.9149.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0530.4%
BTTS – yes1.701.6655.9%
BTTS – no2.202.1144.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Plymouth, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Plymouth 5th (23 points).
  • Absences: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.

Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?

Stevenage35%
Draw28%
Plymouth38%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Stevenage vs Plymouth: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals73.7% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.36
Likely
Draw or Plymouth (X2)65.5% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.92
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.98
Outsider
Both teams score: no44.1% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.20
Outsider
Plymouth to win37.6% · fair odds 2.66 · best 2.55
Outsider
Stevenage to win34.5% · fair odds 2.90 · best 2.78
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.4% · fair odds 3.29 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw27.9% · fair odds 3.59 · best 3.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.84 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
0 : 19.5%
1 : 09.2%
1 : 28.4%
2 : 18.1%
0 : 07.1%

Stevenage vs Plymouth: injuries, suspensions, absences

Stevenage

  • No reported absences

Plymouth

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Stevenage vs Plymouth: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Huddersfield138-4-127:1128
2Stockport County148-2-426:1426
3Oxford United126-5-120:1123
4Luton137-2-426:2023
5Plymouth147-2-521:1923
6Reading136-4-325:1322
7Bradford136-4-310:822
8Cambridge United145-6-321:2121
9Sheffield Wednesday135-5-322:1420
10Leicester135-4-422:1919
11Milton Keynes Dons134-6-322:2018
12Mansfield Town125-3-420:1818
13Wycombe134-6-321:2318
14Leyton Orient135-2-619:1417
15Burton Albion144-5-518:2117
16Stevenage124-4-417:1316
17Notts County123-5-413:1414
18AFC Wimbledon133-4-69:2113
19Blackpool123-3-617:2112
20Doncaster133-3-714:2212
21Wigan133-1-911:2210
22Peterborough132-4-711:2310
23Barnsley122-3-712:229
24Bromley132-3-813:339

Recent matches

Stevenage

31 OctDLeicester 2–2 Stevenage
24 OctLStevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 OctWStevenage 3–0 Plymouth
17 OctLBradford 2–0 Stevenage
10 OctWStevenage 1–0 Wigan

Plymouth

31 OctDPlymouth 0–0 Reading
24 OctWCambridge United 2–3 Plymouth
20 OctLStevenage 3–0 Plymouth
17 OctLPlymouth 0–2 Huddersfield
10 OctWPlymouth 2–1 AFC Wimbledon

Home and away

Stevenage at home6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 9–6
Plymouth away7 matches: 4W 1D 2L, goals 13–12

Stevenage vs Plymouth: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Stevenage: 16th, 16 points from 12 matches (4W 4D 4L). Plymouth: 5th, 23 points (7W 2D 5L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
  2. Not available: Stevenage 0, Plymouth 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 56%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Stevenage: no absences. Not available for Plymouth: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.3%

Stevenage vs Plymouth: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Stevenage vs Plymouth?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Plymouth (X2) (1.47); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Plymouth (X2).

Who will win Stevenage vs Plymouth?

As we see it: Stevenage to win 35%, the draw 28%, Plymouth to win 38%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

20 October 2026, 19:45, at Broadhall Way, Stevenage.

Who will be missing?

Stevenage: no absences. Plymouth: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.92), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 1.98).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 0–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (9.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Huddersfield vs Luton 3 NovOxford United vs Reading 4 NovLeicester vs Bradford 14 NovWigan vs Barnsley 14 NovSheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth 14 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.