Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage). We back Stevenage (47%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.06 | 3.40 | 4.09 |
| Market average | 1.98 | 3.34 | 3.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.33 | 69.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.13 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.80 | 1.74 | 54.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.53 | 26.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.84 | 50.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 1.88 | 49.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Milton Keynes Dons 11th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Stevenage 6W 4D 7L, goals 23–28.
- Absences: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: injuries, suspensions, absences
Stevenage
- No reported absences
Milton Keynes Dons
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 | |
| 19 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 | |
| 24 | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Stevenage
Home and away
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Stevenage: 16th, 16 points from 12 matches (4W 4D 4L). Milton Keynes Dons: 11th, 18 points (4W 6D 3L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Stevenage 6 wins, Milton Keynes Dons 7 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 23–28.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Stevenage 6 wins, 4 draws, Milton Keynes Dons 7 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
- Not available: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.95). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Stevenage: no absences. Not available for Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: head to head
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Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
On the result, our pick is Stevenage to win (2.06); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Stevenage or draw (1X).
Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?
As we see it: Stevenage to win 47%, the draw 28%, Milton Keynes Dons to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 15:00, at Broadhall Way, Stevenage.
Who will be missing?
Stevenage: no absences. Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.13), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.80).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (12.5%), 2–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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