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League One · Matchweek 13 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, League One

1Stevenage2.06
XDraw3.40
2Milton Keynes Dons4.09

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 12:03

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Stevenage v Milton Keynes Dons takes place on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Broadhall Way (Stevenage). We back Stevenage (47%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: tip and prediction
Result
Stevenage to win
2.06
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.80
47%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Stevenage or draw (1X) – probability 75%, odds up to 1.29.

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Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.063.404.09
Market average1.983.343.80
Lowest odds1.953.203.60
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.351.3369.9%
Over 2.5 goals2.132.0546.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.801.7454.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.803.5326.3%
BTTS – yes1.951.8450.6%
BTTS – no2.101.8849.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 12:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Stevenage 1–1 Milton Keynes Dons, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Stevenage 16th (16 points), Milton Keynes Dons 11th (18 points).
  • H2H: 17 matches: Stevenage 6W 4D 7L, goals 23–28.
  • Absences: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.

Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

Stevenage47%
Draw28%
Milton Keynes Dons25%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: more betting markets

Stevenage or draw (1X)75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals73.7% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.9% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.0% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.95
Possible
Both teams score: no49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 2.10
Outsider
Stevenage to win47.2% · fair odds 2.12 · best 2.06
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals46.0% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.13
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals26.3% · fair odds 3.80 · best 3.80
Outsider
Milton Keynes Dons to win24.7% · fair odds 4.05 · best 4.09
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.08 · Under 1.68
probability of over 44.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.5%
1 : 012.5%
2 : 19.1%
2 : 09.1%
0 : 18.6%
0 : 08.6%

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: injuries, suspensions, absences

Stevenage

  • No reported absences

Milton Keynes Dons

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Huddersfield138-4-127:1128
2Stockport County148-2-426:1426
3Oxford United126-5-120:1123
4Luton137-2-426:2023
5Plymouth147-2-521:1923
6Reading136-4-325:1322
7Bradford136-4-310:822
8Cambridge United145-6-321:2121
9Sheffield Wednesday135-5-322:1420
10Leicester135-4-422:1919
11Milton Keynes Dons134-6-322:2018
12Mansfield Town125-3-420:1818
13Wycombe134-6-321:2318
14Leyton Orient135-2-619:1417
15Burton Albion144-5-518:2117
16Stevenage124-4-417:1316
17Notts County123-5-413:1414
18AFC Wimbledon133-4-69:2113
19Blackpool123-3-617:2112
20Doncaster133-3-714:2212
21Wigan133-1-911:2210
22Peterborough132-4-711:2310
23Barnsley122-3-712:229
24Bromley132-3-813:339

Recent matches

Stevenage

31 OctDLeicester 2–2 Stevenage
24 OctLStevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 OctWStevenage 3–0 Plymouth
17 OctLBradford 2–0 Stevenage
10 OctWStevenage 1–0 Wigan

Milton Keynes Dons

31 OctWMilton Keynes Dons 6–1 Doncaster
27 OctWMilton Keynes Dons 4–1 Bromley
24 OctWStevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 OctLBlackpool 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons
17 OctWMilton Keynes Dons 2–1 Luton

Home and away

Stevenage at home6 matches: 3W 1D 2L, goals 9–6
Milton Keynes Dons away6 matches: 1W 3D 2L, goals 7–10

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Stevenage: 16th, 16 points from 12 matches (4W 4D 4L). Milton Keynes Dons: 11th, 18 points (4W 6D 3L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Stevenage 6 wins, Milton Keynes Dons 7 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 23–28.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 17; Stevenage 6 wins, 4 draws, Milton Keynes Dons 7 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
  4. Not available: Stevenage 0, Milton Keynes Dons 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.95). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Stevenage: no absences. Not available for Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: head to head

All matches
6Stevenage
4Draws
7Milton Keynes Dons
24/10/26 · Stevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons
26/7/25 · Stevenage 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons
16/11/21 · Stevenage 2–1 Milton Keynes Dons
6/11/21 · Milton Keynes Dons 2–2 Stevenage
6/10/20 · Stevenage 2–3 Milton Keynes Dons
18/8/20 · Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Stevenage

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

On the result, our pick is Stevenage to win (2.06); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Stevenage or draw (1X).

Who will win Stevenage vs Milton Keynes Dons?

As we see it: Stevenage to win 47%, the draw 28%, Milton Keynes Dons to win 25%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 15:00, at Broadhall Way, Stevenage.

Who will be missing?

Stevenage: no absences. Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.13), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.80).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.95).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (12.5%), 2–1 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.