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DFB-Pokal · round of 32 · 28 October 2026 · 17:00

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, DFB-Pokal

1SC Freiburg1.72
XDraw4.50
2VfL Wolfsburg4.56

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 16:29

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Played: final score 3–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg meet on 28 October 2026 · 17:00 at Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg), under referee S. Storks. SC Freiburg (57%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: tip and prediction
Result
SC Freiburg to win
1.72
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.94
Combo
SC Freiburg & over 2.5 goals
2.28
44% · fair combo odds
57%chance of the result
51%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: SC Freiburg or draw (1X) – probability 79%, odds up to 1.24.

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SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.724.504.56
Market average1.654.264.41
Lowest odds1.573.904.10
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.131.0985.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.401.3668.2%
Under 2.5 goals3.202.9331.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.091.9448.6%
BTTS – yes1.441.4065.9%
BTTS – no2.882.7234.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 16:29. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: SC Freiburg 2–1 VfL Wolfsburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Form in the competition: SC Freiburg 1W 0D 0L (5:1), VfL Wolfsburg 0W 1D 0L (3:3).
  • H2H: 33 matches: SC Freiburg 14W 5D 14L, goals 50–61.
  • Absences: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

SC Freiburg57%
Draw22%
VfL Wolfsburg21%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals85.7% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.13
Likely
SC Freiburg or draw (1X)78.8% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.24
Likely
Over 2.5 goals68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes65.9% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.44
Likely
SC Freiburg to win56.7% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.72
Possible
Under 3.5 goals51.4% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.94
Possible
Over 3.5 goals48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.09
Outsider
Both teams score: no34.1% · fair odds 2.94 · best 2.88
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals31.8% · fair odds 3.15 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw22.0% · fair odds 4.54 · best 4.50
Outsider
VfL Wolfsburg to win21.2% · fair odds 4.71 · best 4.56
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.9%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.5%
1 : 18.6%
2 : 07.3%
3 : 17.0%
1 : 06.6%
2 : 26.2%

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: injuries, suspensions, absences

SC Freiburg

  • No reported absences

VfL Wolfsburg

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: SC Freiburg 5.0 scored and 1.0 conceded, VfL Wolfsburg 3.0 scored and 3.0 conceded.
  2. Form in the competition. SC Freiburg: 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1; VfL Wolfsburg: 0W 1D 0L, goals 3–3.
  3. Head to head. Head to head over 33 meetings: SC Freiburg 14 wins, VfL Wolfsburg 14 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 50–61.

What to expect

We make SC Freiburg the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.94), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 33; SC Freiburg 14 wins, 5 draws, VfL Wolfsburg 14 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.4 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: SC Freiburg 5–1, VfL Wolfsburg 3–3.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
  5. Not available: SC Freiburg 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 49%, odds up to 2.09). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for SC Freiburg: no absences. Not available for VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: the numbers side by side

SC FreiburgVfL Wolfsburg
75%Form25%
63%Attack38%
75%Defence25%
71%Head to head29%
56%Goals44%
68.0%Overall32.2%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

SC FreiburgW
VfL WolfsburgD

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: head to head

All matches
14SC Freiburg
5Draws
14VfL Wolfsburg
28/10/26 · SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg
3/5/26 · SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
20/12/25 · VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg
26/4/25 · VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg
13/12/24 · SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg
27/4/24 · SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

On the result, our pick is SC Freiburg to win (1.72); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.94). Prefer less risk? Go for SC Freiburg or draw (1X).

Who will win SC Freiburg vs VfL Wolfsburg?

As we see it: SC Freiburg to win 57%, the draw 22%, VfL Wolfsburg to win 21%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 17:00, at Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg. Referee: S. Storks.

Who will be missing?

SC Freiburg: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.20).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.5%), 1–1 (8.6%), 2–0 (7.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.