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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

RSD Alcalá
1–3
1RSD Alcalá5.80
XDraw4.50
2Las Palmas1.57

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

RSD Alcalá v Las Palmas takes place on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares). We back Las Palmas (61%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: tip and prediction
Result
Las Palmas to win
1.57
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.76
Combo
Las Palmas & over 2.5 goals
2.61
38% · fair combo odds
61%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Las Palmas (X2) – probability 83%, odds up to 1.16.

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RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.804.501.57
Market average5.454.171.52
Lowest odds4.903.711.46
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2275.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.761.7354.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.102.0345.9%
Over 3.5 goals2.922.7533.6%
BTTS – yes1.911.8151.3%
BTTS – no2.001.9148.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: RSD Alcalá 0–1 Las Palmas, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.

Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?

RSD Alcalá17%
Draw22%
Las Palmas61%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: more betting markets

Draw or Las Palmas (X2)83.0% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.4% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.40
Likely
Las Palmas to win60.8% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.76
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams score: no48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.6% · fair odds 2.98 · best 2.92
Outsider
Draw22.2% · fair odds 4.50 · best 4.50
Outsider
RSD Alcalá to win17.0% · fair odds 5.88 · best 5.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.07 · Under 1.65
probability of over 44.3%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 111.6%
0 : 211.0%
1 : 110.4%
1 : 29.9%
0 : 37.0%
1 : 36.3%

RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: injuries, suspensions, absences

RSD Alcalá

  • No reported absences

Las Palmas

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We make Las Palmas the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (11.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

    On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
    2. Not available: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

    Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for RSD Alcalá: no absences. Not available for Las Palmas: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.3%

    RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?

    On the result, our pick is Las Palmas to win (1.57); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Las Palmas (X2).

    Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?

    As we see it: RSD Alcalá to win 17%, the draw 22%, Las Palmas to win 61%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    27 October 2026, 19:00, at Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.

    Who will be missing?

    RSD Alcalá: no absences. Las Palmas: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.76), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.10).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.91).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 0–1 (11.6%), 0–2 (11.0%), 1–1 (10.4%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.