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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

Rouen vs Concarneau tip, odds and prediction, 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

WLWLW
2–1
1Rouen2.05
XDraw3.40
2Concarneau3.88

Top odds available · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Rouen v Concarneau takes place on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Robert Diochon (Rouen). We back Rouen (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Rouen vs Concarneau: tip and prediction
Result
Rouen to win
2.05
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.74
46%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Rouen or draw (1X) – probability 75%, odds up to 1.25.

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Rouen vs Concarneau: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.053.403.88
Market average1.963.243.59
Lowest odds1.893.003.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.351.3469.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.122.0744.9%
Under 2.5 goals1.741.6955.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.903.6225.5%
BTTS – yes2.001.8848.9%
BTTS – no1.831.8051.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 9.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Rouen 1–1 Concarneau, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Rouen 2nd (23 points), Concarneau 7th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Rouen 6W 2D 2L (18:8), Concarneau 4W 5D 1L (13:9).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Rouen 2W 3D 0L, goals 7–5.
  • Absences: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.

Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?

Rouen46%
Draw28%
Concarneau25%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Rouen vs Concarneau: more betting markets

Rouen or draw (1X)74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals74.5% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.2% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.1% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.74
Possible
Both teams score: no51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: yes48.9% · fair odds 2.05 · best 2.00
Outsider
Rouen to win46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.12
Outsider
Draw28.1% · fair odds 3.56 · best 3.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.5% · fair odds 3.92 · best 3.90
Outsider
Concarneau to win25.4% · fair odds 3.93 · best 3.88
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.00
probability of over 53.8%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.5%
1 : 012.5%
2 : 19.1%
2 : 09.1%
0 : 18.6%
0 : 08.6%

Rouen vs Concarneau: injuries, suspensions, absences

Rouen

  • No reported absences

Concarneau

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Rouen vs Concarneau: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Rouen

31 OctWRouen 2–1 Concarneau
17 OctLGobelins 3–1 Rouen
3 OctWRouen 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
24 SeptLCaen 3–2 Rouen
19 SeptWRouen 1–0 Aubagne

Concarneau

31 OctLRouen 2–1 Concarneau
17 OctDConcarneau 1–1 Bastia
3 OctWConcarneau 2–1 Gobelins
26 SeptDBourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Concarneau
19 SeptWConcarneau 2–0 Caen

Home and away

Rouen at home6 matches: 4W 2D 0L, goals 9–2
Concarneau away5 matches: 1W 3D 1L, goals 5–5

Rouen vs Concarneau: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Rouen: 2nd, 23 points from 11 matches (7W 2D 2L). Concarneau: 7th, 17 points (4W 5D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Rouen 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded, Concarneau 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Rouen: 6W 2D 2L, goals 18–8; Concarneau: 4W 5D 1L, goals 13–9.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Rouen 2 wins, Concarneau 0 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 7–5.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.74), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 5; Rouen 2 wins, 3 draws, Concarneau 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.4 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Rouen 18–8, Concarneau 13–9.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
  5. Not available: Rouen 0, Concarneau 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Rouen: no absences. Not available for Concarneau: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Rouen vs Concarneau: the numbers side by side

RouenConcarneau
45%Form55%
56%Attack44%
40%Defence60%
67%Head to head33%
56%Goals44%
57.5%Overall42.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

RouenWLWLW
ConcarneauLDWDW

Rouen vs Concarneau: head to head

All matches
2Rouen
3Draws
0Concarneau
31/10/26 · Rouen 2–1 Concarneau
17/4/26 · Concarneau 0–0 Rouen
21/11/25 · Rouen 0–0 Concarneau
28/2/25 · Rouen 4–3 Concarneau
27/9/24 · Concarneau 1–1 Rouen

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin9.8%

Rouen vs Concarneau: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Rouen vs Concarneau?

On the result, our pick is Rouen to win (2.05); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.74). Prefer less risk? Go for Rouen or draw (1X).

Who will win Rouen vs Concarneau?

As we see it: Rouen to win 46%, the draw 28%, Concarneau to win 25%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

31 October 2026, 13:45, at Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen.

Who will be missing?

Rouen: no absences. Concarneau: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.12), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.74).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 2.00).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (12.5%), 2–1 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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