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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 12 · 5 November 2026 · 19:45

Valenciennes vs Orléans tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, Ligue 3

1Valenciennes2.25
XDraw3.31
2Orléans3.17

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 02:15

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Valenciennes and Orléans meet on 5 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade du Hainaut (Valenciennes). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Valenciennes vs Orléans: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Valenciennes or draw (1X)
1.33
Goals
Both teams to score
1.71
71%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Valenciennes vs Orléans: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.253.313.17
Market average2.163.203.10
Lowest odds2.093.003.00
Megapari2.113.203.14
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2772.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.941.9048.9%
Under 2.5 goals1.851.8151.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.263.1529.1%
BTTS – yes1.711.6954.2%
BTTS – no2.102.0045.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 02:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 9.8%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Valenciennes 1–1 Orléans, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Valenciennes 15th (9 points), Orléans 14th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Valenciennes 2W 3D 6L (11:17), Orléans 2W 4D 5L (10:15).
  • H2H: 13 matches: Valenciennes 7W 0D 6L, goals 18–16.
  • Absences: Valenciennes 0, Orléans 0.

Who will win Valenciennes vs Orléans?

Valenciennes42%
Draw28%
Orléans29%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Valenciennes vs Orléans: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals72.1% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.31
Likely
Valenciennes or draw (1X)70.6% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.33
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.2% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.71
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Over 2.5 goals48.9% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.94
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.8% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Valenciennes to win42.1% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.25
Outsider
Orléans to win29.4% · fair odds 3.40 · best 3.17
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.1% · fair odds 3.44 · best 3.26
Outsider
Draw28.5% · fair odds 3.51 · best 3.31
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
1 : 010.8%
2 : 19.0%
0 : 18.5%
2 : 07.8%
0 : 07.4%

Valenciennes vs Orléans: injuries, suspensions, absences

Valenciennes

  • No reported absences

Orléans

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Valenciennes vs Orléans: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Valenciennes

31 OctLCannes 2–1 Valenciennes
17 OctDValenciennes 1–1 Amiens
3 OctLVersailles 1–0 Valenciennes
26 SeptWValenciennes 2–1 Le Puy Foot
19 SeptLLa Roche VF 3–2 Valenciennes

Orléans

31 OctDOrléans 1–1 Villefranche
17 OctLQuevilly 3–2 Orléans
1 OctDBastia 1–1 Orléans
26 SeptDOrléans 0–0 Cannes
19 SeptLAmiens 2–0 Orléans

Home and away

Valenciennes at home5 matches: 2W 2D 1L, goals 6–4
Orléans away6 matches: 2W 2D 2L, goals 8–7

Valenciennes vs Orléans: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Valenciennes: 15th, 9 points from 11 matches (2W 3D 6L). Orléans: 14th, 10 points (2W 4D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Valenciennes 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded, Orléans 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Valenciennes: 2W 3D 6L, goals 11–17; Orléans: 2W 4D 5L, goals 10–15.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 13 meetings: Valenciennes 7 wins, Orléans 6 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 18–16.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.71), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 13; Valenciennes 7 wins, 0 draws, Orléans 6 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Valenciennes 11–17, Orléans 10–15.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
  5. Not available: Valenciennes 0, Orléans 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.71). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Valenciennes: no absences. Not available for Orléans: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Valenciennes vs Orléans: the numbers side by side

ValenciennesOrléans
57%Form43%
60%Attack40%
47%Defence53%
29%Head to head71%
30%Goals70%
45.5%Overall54.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

ValenciennesLDLWL
OrléansDLDDL

Valenciennes vs Orléans: head to head

All matches
7Valenciennes
0Draws
6Orléans
31/1/26 · Valenciennes 0–1 Orléans
22/8/25 · Orléans 2–1 Valenciennes
24/1/25 · Valenciennes 1–0 Orléans
9/10/24 · Orléans 4–1 Valenciennes
22/11/19 · Orléans 0–1 Valenciennes
15/3/19 · Valenciennes 1–4 Orléans

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin9.8%

Valenciennes vs Orléans: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Valenciennes vs Orléans?

On the result, our pick is Valenciennes or draw (1X) (1.33); on goals, Both teams to score (1.71). Prefer less risk? Go for Valenciennes or draw (1X).

Who will win Valenciennes vs Orléans?

As we see it: Valenciennes to win 42%, the draw 28%, Orléans to win 29%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

5 November 2026, 19:45, at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes.

Who will be missing?

Valenciennes: no absences. Orléans: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.94), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.85).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.71).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.