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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 19:30

Reddis vs Barakaldo tip, odds and prediction, 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Reddis
VS
Barakaldo
1Reddis4.00
XDraw3.65
2Barakaldo1.95

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 00:30

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Reddis v Barakaldo takes place on 4 November 2026 · 19:30 at Estadi Municipal de Reus (Reus). We back Barakaldo (48%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Reddis vs Barakaldo: tip and prediction
Result
Barakaldo to win
1.95
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.69
48%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Barakaldo (X2) – probability 76%, odds up to 1.25.

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Reddis vs Barakaldo: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.003.651.95
Market average3.833.411.93
Lowest odds3.703.221.91
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.371.3568.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.162.1144.2%
Under 2.5 goals1.691.6755.8%
Over 3.5 goals4.103.7024.9%
BTTS – yes2.001.8948.9%
BTTS – no1.871.8251.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 00:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Reddis 0–1 Barakaldo, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Absences: Reddis 0, Barakaldo 0.

Who will win Reddis vs Barakaldo?

Reddis24%
Draw27%
Barakaldo48%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Reddis vs Barakaldo: more betting markets

Draw or Barakaldo (X2)75.7% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals75.1% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.5% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.37
Likely
Under 2.5 goals55.8% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.69
Possible
Both teams score: no51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.87
Possible
Both teams score: yes48.9% · fair odds 2.04 · best 2.00
Outsider
Barakaldo to win48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.16
Outsider
Draw27.4% · fair odds 3.65 · best 3.65
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.9% · fair odds 4.01 · best 4.10
Outsider
Reddis to win24.3% · fair odds 4.11 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.09 · Under 1.65
probability of over 44.3%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 113.2%
1 : 112.5%
0 : 29.5%
0 : 09.1%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 08.6%

Reddis vs Barakaldo: injuries, suspensions, absences

Reddis

  • No reported absences

Barakaldo

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Reddis vs Barakaldo: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (13.2%). We see a fairly level contest.

    On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.69), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 44%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 44%.
    2. Not available: Reddis 0, Barakaldo 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

    Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.87). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Reddis: no absences. Not available for Barakaldo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.4%

    Reddis vs Barakaldo: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Reddis vs Barakaldo?

    On the result, our pick is Barakaldo to win (1.95); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.69). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Barakaldo (X2).

    Who will win Reddis vs Barakaldo?

    As we see it: Reddis to win 24%, the draw 27%, Barakaldo to win 48%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    4 November 2026, 19:30, at Estadi Municipal de Reus, Reus.

    Who will be missing?

    Reddis: no absences. Barakaldo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 44% chance (odds 2.16), against 56% for under 2.5 (odds 1.69).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 2.00).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 0–1 (13.2%), 1–1 (12.5%), 0–2 (9.5%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.