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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 18:00

Pinatar vs Elche tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Pinatar
WW
1–3
1Pinatar76.00
XDraw21.00
2Elche1.06

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 17:43

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Pinatar v Elche takes place on 27 October 2026 · 18:00. We back Elche (90%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Pinatar vs Elche: tip and prediction
Result
Elche to win
1.06
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.62
Combo
Elche & over 2.5 goals
1.37
73% · fair combo odds
90%chance of the result
59%goals tip: chance
0–3likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Pinatar vs Elche: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available76.0021.001.06
Market average36.9415.261.03
Lowest odds15.009.501.02
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.091.0588.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.241.2176.1%
Under 2.5 goals4.503.8923.9%
Over 3.5 goals1.621.5758.7%
BTTS – yes4.333.5026.8%
BTTS – no1.361.2773.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 17:43. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Pinatar 0–3 Elche, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Pinatar 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–3.
  • Absences: Pinatar 0, Elche 0.

Who will win Pinatar vs Elche?

Pinatar3%
Draw7%
Elche90%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Pinatar vs Elche: more betting markets

Elche to win90.2% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.8% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 2.5 goals76.1% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.24
Likely
Both teams score: no73.2% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.36
Likely
Over 3.5 goals58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Under 3.5 goals41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.50
Outsider
Both teams score: yes26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 4.33
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals23.9% · fair odds 4.18 · best 4.50
Outsider
Draw6.6% · fair odds 15.24 · best 21.00
Outsider
Pinatar to win3.2% · fair odds 31.25 · best 76.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.00 · Under 1.73
probability of over 46.4%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 313.1%
0 : 411.5%
0 : 211.2%
0 : 58.0%
1 : 36.5%
0 : 16.4%

Pinatar vs Elche: injuries, suspensions, absences

Pinatar

  • No reported absences

Elche

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Pinatar vs Elche: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Pinatar 0 wins, Elche 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 1–3.

What to expect

We make Elche the favourites. The projected scoreline is 0–3, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–3 (13.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.06, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.62), with a probability of 59% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 27% and over 2.5 goals is 76%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Pinatar 0 wins, 0 draws, Elche 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 4.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 76%.
  4. Not available: Pinatar 0, Elche 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 41%, odds up to 2.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Pinatar: no absences. Not available for Elche: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Pinatar vs Elche: the numbers side by side

PinatarElche
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

PinatarWW
Elche

Pinatar vs Elche: head to head

All matches
0Pinatar
0Draws
1Elche
27/10/26 · Pinatar 1–3 Elche

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.4%

Pinatar vs Elche: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Pinatar vs Elche?

On the result, our pick is Elche to win (1.06); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Elche (X2).

Who will win Pinatar vs Elche?

As we see it: Pinatar to win 3%, the draw 7%, Elche to win 90%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 18:00, at to be confirmed.

Who will be missing?

Pinatar: no absences. Elche: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 76% chance (odds 1.24), against 24% for under 2.5 (odds 4.50).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 27% (odds 4.33).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–3 (13.1%), 0–4 (11.5%), 0–2 (11.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.