Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Numancia v Oviedo takes place on 29 October 2026 · 17:00 at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria); Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain will referee. We back Oviedo (50%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Numancia vs Oviedo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 4.05 | 3.38 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.85 | 3.11 | 1.84 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.93 | 23.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.76 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 13:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Numancia 0–1 Oviedo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- H2H: 8 matches: Numancia 2W 3D 3L, goals 10–10.
- Absences: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Numancia vs Oviedo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Numancia vs Oviedo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Numancia
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Numancia vs Oviedo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Numancia 2 wins, Oviedo 3 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 10–10.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (13.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 47% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Numancia 2 wins, 3 draws, Oviedo 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
- Not available: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 53%, odds up to 1.76). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Numancia: no absences. Not available for Oviedo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Numancia vs Oviedo: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Numancia vs Oviedo: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Numancia vs Oviedo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Numancia vs Oviedo?
On the result, our pick is Oviedo to win (1.93); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.65). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Oviedo (X2).
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
As we see it: Numancia to win 23%, the draw 27%, Oviedo to win 50%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
29 October 2026, 17:00, at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria. Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Numancia: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.25), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.65).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 47% (odds 2.05).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (13.8%), 1–1 (12.4%), 0–2 (10.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.