Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Luton entertain Leicester on 24 October 2026 · 12:30 at Kenilworth Road (Luton). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Luton vs Leicester: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.27 | 3.92 | 2.91 |
| Market average | 2.22 | 3.79 | 2.85 |
| Lowest odds | 2.18 | 3.60 | 2.75 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.13 | 82.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.52 | 36.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.31 | 2.20 | 42.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.67 | 34.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 10:05. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Luton 1–1 Leicester, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Luton 4th (23 points), Leicester 10th (19 points).
- H2H: 2 matches: Luton 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–5.
- Absences: Luton 0, Leicester 0.
Who will win Luton vs Leicester?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Luton vs Leicester: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Luton vs Leicester: injuries, suspensions, absences
Luton
- No reported absences
Leicester
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Luton vs Leicester: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Huddersfield | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 3 |  Oxford United | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 |
| 4 | Luton | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Bradford | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 |
| 11 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 12 |  Mansfield Town | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 14 |  Leyton Orient | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 17 |  Notts County | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 20 |  Doncaster | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 |
| 23 |  Barnsley | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
Luton
Home and away
Luton vs Leicester: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Luton: 4th, 23 points from 13 matches (7W 2D 4L). Leicester: 10th, 19 points (5W 4D 4L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Luton 1 win, Leicester 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 2–5.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 63%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Luton 1 win, 0 draws, Leicester 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.5 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 63%.
- Not available: Luton 0, Leicester 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Luton: no absences. Not available for Leicester: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Luton vs Leicester: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Luton vs Leicester: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Luton vs Leicester?
On the result, our pick is Luton or draw (1X) (1.45); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Luton or draw (1X).
Who will win Luton vs Leicester?
As we see it: Luton to win 42%, the draw 25%, Leicester to win 33%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 12:30, at Kenilworth Road, Luton.
Who will be missing?
Luton: no absences. Leicester: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 63% chance (odds 1.52), against 37% for under 2.5 (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 2–1 (8.8%), 1–2 (7.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.