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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Llanera vs Ponferradina tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Llanera
1–1
Ponferradina
1Llanera5.00
XDraw4.20
2Ponferradina1.69

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Llanera entertain Ponferradina on 27 October 2026 · 19:00. Ponferradina (56%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Llanera vs Ponferradina: tip and prediction
Result
Ponferradina to win
1.69
Goals
Both teams to score
1.80
Combo
Ponferradina & over 2.5 goals
2.93
34% · fair combo odds
56%chance of the result
52%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Ponferradina (X2) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.18.

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Llanera vs Ponferradina: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.004.201.69
Market average4.733.771.65
Lowest odds4.453.491.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2374.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8151.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.9448.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.252.9231.7%
BTTS – yes1.801.7752.4%
BTTS – no2.001.9547.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Llanera 0–1 Ponferradina, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Llanera 0, Ponferradina 0.

Who will win Llanera vs Ponferradina?

Llanera20%
Draw25%
Ponferradina56%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Llanera vs Ponferradina: more betting markets

Draw or Ponferradina (X2)80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.18
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.3% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.43
Likely
Ponferradina to win55.9% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.69
Possible
Both teams score: yes52.4% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.7% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.96
Outsider
Both teams score: no47.6% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.7% · fair odds 3.15 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw24.5% · fair odds 4.08 · best 4.20
Outsider
Llanera to win19.5% · fair odds 5.12 · best 5.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 111.8%
1 : 111.2%
0 : 210.3%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 06.7%
1 : 06.4%

Llanera vs Ponferradina: injuries, suspensions, absences

Llanera

  • No reported absences

Ponferradina

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Llanera vs Ponferradina: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We make Ponferradina the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (11.8%). We see a fairly level contest.

    On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
    2. Not available: Llanera 0, Ponferradina 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

    Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Llanera: no absences. Not available for Ponferradina: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.3%

    Llanera vs Ponferradina: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Llanera vs Ponferradina?

    On the result, our pick is Ponferradina to win (1.69); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Ponferradina (X2).

    Who will win Llanera vs Ponferradina?

    As we see it: Llanera to win 20%, the draw 25%, Ponferradina to win 56%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    27 October 2026, 19:00, at to be confirmed.

    Who will be missing?

    Llanera: no absences. Ponferradina: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.86), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.80).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 0–1 (11.8%), 1–1 (11.2%), 0–2 (10.3%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.