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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

Le Puy Foot vs Caen tip, odds and prediction, 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

2–2
DWLWL
1Le Puy Foot2.41
XDraw3.55
2Caen3.10

Top odds available · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Le Puy Foot entertain Caen on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Charles Massot (Espaly-Saint Marcel). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Le Puy Foot or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
68%chance of the result
59%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Le Puy Foot vs Caen: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.413.553.10
Market average2.223.402.86
Lowest odds2.103.302.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2076.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6755.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.162.0844.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.762.6434.9%
BTTS – yes1.671.5758.7%
BTTS – no2.302.2341.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 9.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Caen, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Le Puy Foot 6th (17 points), Caen 4th (19 points).
  • Form in the competition: Le Puy Foot 5W 1D 4L (12:9), Caen 6W 0D 4L (19:13).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Le Puy Foot 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
  • Absences: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.

Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?

Le Puy Foot41%
Draw27%
Caen32%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.22
Likely
Le Puy Foot or draw (1X)67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.1% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.5% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.71
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.5% · fair odds 2.24 · best 2.16
Outsider
Both teams score: no41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.30
Outsider
Le Puy Foot to win41.1% · fair odds 2.43 · best 2.41
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.9% · fair odds 2.86 · best 2.76
Outsider
Caen to win32.1% · fair odds 3.12 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.55
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.76
probability of over 47.2%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.5%
2 : 18.9%
1 : 08.5%
1 : 27.8%
0 : 17.4%
2 : 06.6%

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: injuries, suspensions, absences

Le Puy Foot

  • No reported absences

Caen

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Le Puy Foot

31 OctDLe Puy Foot 2–2 Caen
17 OctWAubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot
3 OctWLe Puy Foot 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos
26 SeptLValenciennes 2–1 Le Puy Foot
19 SeptWLe Puy Foot 4–1 Villefranche

Caen

31 OctDLe Puy Foot 2–2 Caen
15 OctWCaen 2–1 La Roche VF
3 OctLFleury 91 3–2 Caen
24 SeptWCaen 3–2 Rouen
19 SeptLConcarneau 2–0 Caen

Home and away

Le Puy Foot at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 9–4
Caen away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 9–11

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Le Puy Foot: 6th, 17 points from 11 matches (5W 2D 4L). Caen: 4th, 19 points (6W 1D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Le Puy Foot 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded, Caen 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Le Puy Foot: 5W 1D 4L, goals 12–9; Caen: 6W 0D 4L, goals 19–13.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: Le Puy Foot 1 win, Caen 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 3–4.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 59% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 3; Le Puy Foot 1 win, 1 draw, Caen 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Le Puy Foot 12–9, Caen 19–13.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  5. Not available: Le Puy Foot 0, Caen 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Le Puy Foot: no absences. Not available for Caen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: the numbers side by side

Le Puy FootCaen
50%Form50%
47%Attack53%
62%Defence38%
50%Head to head50%
33%Goals67%
53.3%Overall46.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Le Puy FootDWWLW
CaenDWLWL

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: head to head

All matches
1Le Puy Foot
1Draws
1Caen
31/10/26 · Le Puy Foot 2–2 Caen
13/3/26 · Le Puy Foot 1–0 Caen
3/10/25 · Caen 2–0 Le Puy Foot

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin9.8%

Le Puy Foot vs Caen: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Le Puy Foot vs Caen?

On the result, our pick is Le Puy Foot or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Le Puy Foot or draw (1X).

Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Caen?

As we see it: Le Puy Foot to win 41%, the draw 27%, Caen to win 32%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

31 October 2026, 13:45, at Stade Charles Massot, Espaly-Saint Marcel.

Who will be missing?

Le Puy Foot: no absences. Caen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.71), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.16).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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