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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Laredo vs Burgos tip, odds and prediction, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Laredo
2–4
1Laredo6.60
XDraw4.40
2Burgos1.60

Top odds available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Laredo v Burgos takes place on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio San Lorenzo. We back Burgos (61%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Laredo vs Burgos: tip and prediction
Result
Burgos to win
1.60
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.85
Combo
Burgos & over 2.5 goals
2.70
37% · fair combo odds
61%chance of the result
51%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Burgos (X2) – probability 84%, odds up to 1.13.

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Laredo vs Burgos: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available6.604.401.60
Market average5.933.981.52
Lowest odds5.503.701.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2573.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8251.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9248.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9331.4%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.0%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Laredo 0–1 Burgos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Laredo 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

Laredo16%
Draw23%
Burgos61%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Laredo vs Burgos: more betting markets

Draw or Burgos (X2)84.3% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.36
Likely
Burgos to win61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.97
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.40
Outsider
Laredo to win15.7% · fair odds 6.38 · best 6.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 112.4%
0 : 211.5%
1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 37.1%
0 : 06.7%

Laredo vs Burgos: injuries, suspensions, absences

Laredo

  • No reported absences

Burgos

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Laredo vs Burgos: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Laredo 0 wins, Burgos 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 2–4.

What to expect

We make Burgos the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Laredo 0 wins, 0 draws, Burgos 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 6.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
  4. Not available: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Laredo: no absences. Not available for Burgos: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Laredo vs Burgos: head to head

All matches
0Laredo
0Draws
1Burgos
29/10/26 · Laredo 2–4 Burgos

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Laredo vs Burgos: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Laredo vs Burgos?

On the result, our pick is Burgos to win (1.60); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.85). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Burgos (X2).

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

As we see it: Laredo to win 16%, the draw 23%, Burgos to win 61%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

29 October 2026, 19:00, at Estadio San Lorenzo.

Who will be missing?

Laredo: no absences. Burgos: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.85), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.95).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–1 (12.4%), 0–2 (11.5%), 1–1 (10.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.