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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 tip, odds and prediction, 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

1La Roche VF1.71
XDraw3.80
2Bourg-en-bresse 015.96

Top odds available · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

La Roche VF and Bourg-en-bresse 01 meet on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Henri-Desgranges (La Roche-sur-Yon). La Roche VF (55%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: tip and prediction
Result
La Roche VF to win
1.71
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.86
Combo
La Roche VF & over 2.5 goals
2.93
34% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
51%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: La Roche VF or draw (1X) – probability 80%, odds up to 1.19.

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La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.713.805.96
Market average1.653.614.71
Lowest odds1.583.304.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2474.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.861.8251.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9248.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.122.9930.8%
BTTS – yes1.911.8051.1%
BTTS – no1.951.8848.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 9.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: La Roche VF 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: La Roche VF 1st (24 points), Bourg-en-bresse 01 18th (5 points).
  • Form in the competition: La Roche VF 6W 3D 1L (16:10), Bourg-en-bresse 01 1W 2D 7L (5:16).
  • H2H: 1 match: La Roche VF 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0.
  • Absences: La Roche VF 0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.

Who will win La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

La Roche VF55%
Draw25%
Bourg-en-bresse 0120%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: more betting markets

La Roche VF or draw (1X)80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.3% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals69.2% · fair odds 1.45 · best 1.36
Likely
La Roche VF to win55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.71
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.86
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.1% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams score: no48.9% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.97
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.8% · fair odds 3.25 · best 3.12
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.80
Outsider
Bourg-en-bresse 01 to win19.5% · fair odds 5.12 · best 5.96
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.06 · Under 1.69
probability of over 45.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 011.8%
1 : 111.2%
2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.8%
0 : 06.7%
0 : 16.4%

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: injuries, suspensions, absences

La Roche VF

  • No reported absences

Bourg-en-bresse 01

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

La Roche VF

31 OctWLa Roche VF 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
15 OctLCaen 2–1 La Roche VF
3 OctWLa Roche VF 3–1 Aubagne
26 SeptWThionville Lusitanos 1–2 La Roche VF
19 SeptWLa Roche VF 3–2 Valenciennes

Bourg-en-bresse 01

31 OctLLa Roche VF 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
17 OctLBourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 Fleury 91
3 OctLRouen 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
26 SeptDBourg-en-bresse 01 1–1 Concarneau
19 SeptDGobelins 1–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01

Home and away

La Roche VF at home6 matches: 4W 2D 0L, goals 13–7
Bourg-en-bresse 01 away5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 1–9

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. La Roche VF: 1st, 24 points from 11 matches (7W 3D 1L). Bourg-en-bresse 01: 18th, 5 points (1W 2D 8L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: La Roche VF 1.6 scored and 1.0 conceded, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.5 scored and 1.6 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. La Roche VF: 6W 3D 1L, goals 16–10; Bourg-en-bresse 01: 1W 2D 7L, goals 5–16.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: La Roche VF 1 win, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 2–0.

What to expect

We make La Roche VF the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (11.8%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.86), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; La Roche VF 1 win, 0 draws, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: La Roche VF 16–10, Bourg-en-bresse 01 5–16.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
  5. Not available: La Roche VF 0, Bourg-en-bresse 01 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for La Roche VF: no absences. Not available for Bourg-en-bresse 01: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: the numbers side by side

La Roche VFBourg-en-bresse 01
83%Form17%
82%Attack18%
50%Defence50%
76.3%Overall23.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

La Roche VFWLWWW
Bourg-en-bresse 01LLLDD

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: head to head

All matches
1La Roche VF
0Draws
0Bourg-en-bresse 01
31/10/26 · La Roche VF 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin9.7%

La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

On the result, our pick is La Roche VF to win (1.71); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.86). Prefer less risk? Go for La Roche VF or draw (1X).

Who will win La Roche VF vs Bourg-en-bresse 01?

As we see it: La Roche VF to win 55%, the draw 25%, Bourg-en-bresse 01 to win 20%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

31 October 2026, 13:45, at Stade Henri-Desgranges, La Roche-sur-Yon.

Who will be missing?

La Roche VF: no absences. Bourg-en-bresse 01: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.86), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.91).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (11.8%), 1–1 (11.2%), 2–0 (10.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.