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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 24 October 2026 · 19:45

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers tip, odds and prediction, 24 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

1–2
1Kerry FC3.02
XDraw3.61
2Bray Wanderers2.58

Top odds available · Updated 24/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Kerry FC entertain Bray Wanderers on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Mounthawk Park (Tralee). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2)
1.49
Goals
Both teams to score
1.65
66%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.023.612.58
Market average2.723.362.30
Lowest odds2.163.002.15
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2175.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.781.7353.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.051.9746.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.7533.1%
BTTS – yes1.651.5957.2%
BTTS – no2.202.1342.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Kerry FC 1–1 Bray Wanderers, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Kerry FC 4th (52 points), Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Kerry FC 2W 2D 14L, goals 22–42.
  • Absences: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

Kerry FC34%
Draw27%
Bray Wanderers39%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals75.3% · fair odds 1.33 · best 1.25
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.9% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.42
Likely
Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2)66.5% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.49
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.78
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.05
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.20
Outsider
Bray Wanderers to win39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.58
Outsider
Kerry FC to win33.5% · fair odds 2.98 · best 3.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.1% · fair odds 3.02 · best 2.88
Outsider
Draw27.0% · fair odds 3.70 · best 3.61
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.04 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.9%
0 : 18.8%
1 : 28.6%
1 : 08.2%
2 : 18.0%
0 : 26.4%

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: injuries, suspensions, absences

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Home and away

Kerry FC at home18 matches: 9W 6D 3L, goals 24–15
Bray Wanderers away18 matches: 5W 3D 10L, goals 23–30

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Kerry FC: 4th, 52 points from 36 matches (14W 10D 12L). Bray Wanderers: 3rd, 54 points (15W 9D 12L).
  2. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Kerry FC 2 wins, Bray Wanderers 14 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 22–42.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.65), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Kerry FC 2 wins, 2 draws, Bray Wanderers 14 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.6 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
  4. Not available: Kerry FC 0, Bray Wanderers 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Kerry FC: no absences. Not available for Bray Wanderers: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: head to head

All matches
2Kerry FC
2Draws
14Bray Wanderers
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.7%

Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2) (1.49); on goals, Both teams to score (1.65). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Bray Wanderers (X2).

Who will win Kerry FC vs Bray Wanderers?

As we see it: Kerry FC to win 34%, the draw 27%, Bray Wanderers to win 39%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

24 October 2026, 19:45, at Mounthawk Park, Tralee.

Who will be missing?

Kerry FC: no absences. Bray Wanderers: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.78), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.65).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 0–1 (8.8%), 1–2 (8.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.