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League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 27 October 2026 · 19:45

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

3–0
1Bray Wanderers1.93
XDraw3.80
2Kerry FC3.73

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bray Wanderers and Kerry FC meet on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at Carlisle Grounds (Bray). Bray Wanderers (48%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: tip and prediction
Result
Bray Wanderers to win
1.93
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.52
48%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bray Wanderers or draw (1X) – probability 74%, odds up to 1.30.

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Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.933.803.73
Market average1.883.603.43
Lowest odds1.753.253.06
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1678.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.641.5958.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.272.1942.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.562.3938.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5260.0%
BTTS – no2.402.2840.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.4%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bray Wanderers 1–1 Kerry FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bray Wanderers 3rd (54 points), Kerry FC 4th (52 points).
  • Form in the competition: Bray Wanderers 16W 9D 12L (69:54), Kerry FC 14W 10D 13L (46:43).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Bray Wanderers 14W 2D 2L, goals 42–22.
  • Absences: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

Bray Wanderers48%
Draw25%
Kerry FC26%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
Likely
Bray Wanderers or draw (1X)73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.52
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.64
Possible
Bray Wanderers to win48.3% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.93
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.27
Outsider
Both teams score: no40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.40
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.56
Outsider
Kerry FC to win26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.73
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.97 · best 3.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.81
probability of over 48.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.9%
2 : 19.5%
1 : 08.7%
2 : 07.6%
1 : 26.8%
0 : 16.2%

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: injuries, suspensions, absences

Bray Wanderers

  • No reported absences

Kerry FC

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Bray Wanderers

1 NovLBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctWKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctLFinn Harps 2–0 Bray Wanderers
9 OctDBray Wanderers 2–2 Wexford

Kerry FC

27 OctLBray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24 OctLKerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
16 OctDKerry FC 1–1 Cork City
9 OctWCobh Ramblers 0–2 Kerry FC
2 OctWFinn Harps 1–2 Kerry FC

Home and away

Bray Wanderers at home18 matches: 10W 6D 2L, goals 44–23
Kerry FC away18 matches: 5W 4D 9L, goals 21–26

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Bray Wanderers: 3rd, 54 points from 36 matches (15W 9D 12L). Kerry FC: 4th, 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bray Wanderers 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded, Kerry FC 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Bray Wanderers: 16W 9D 12L, goals 69–54; Kerry FC: 14W 10D 13L, goals 46–43.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Bray Wanderers 14 wins, Kerry FC 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 42–22.

What to expect

We make Bray Wanderers the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.9%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.52), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Bray Wanderers 14 wins, 2 draws, Kerry FC 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Bray Wanderers 69–54, Kerry FC 46–43.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
  5. Not available: Bray Wanderers 0, Kerry FC 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Bray Wanderers: no absences. Not available for Kerry FC: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: the numbers side by side

Bray WanderersKerry FC
41%Form59%
53%Attack47%
29%Defence71%
71%Head to head29%
47%Goals53%
50.8%Overall49.2%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Bray WanderersLWWLD
Kerry FCLLDWW

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: head to head

All matches
14Bray Wanderers
2Draws
2Kerry FC
27/10/26 · Bray Wanderers 3–0 Kerry FC
24/10/26 · Kerry FC 1–2 Bray Wanderers
11/9/26 · Kerry FC 0–1 Bray Wanderers
31/7/26 · Bray Wanderers 0–4 Kerry FC
22/5/26 · Kerry FC 2–2 Bray Wanderers
27/3/26 · Bray Wanderers 2–1 Kerry FC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.4%

Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

On the result, our pick is Bray Wanderers to win (1.93); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.52). Prefer less risk? Go for Bray Wanderers or draw (1X).

Who will win Bray Wanderers vs Kerry FC?

As we see it: Bray Wanderers to win 48%, the draw 25%, Kerry FC to win 26%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 19:45, at Carlisle Grounds, Bray.

Who will be missing?

Bray Wanderers: no absences. Kerry FC: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.64), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.27).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.9%), 2–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (8.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.