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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 20:00

Hortaleza vs Sevilla tip, odds and prediction, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Hortaleza
WD
0–3
1Hortaleza61.00
XDraw29.00
2Sevilla1.04

Top odds available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Hortaleza and Sevilla meet on 29 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares). Sevilla (92%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: tip and prediction
Result
Sevilla to win
1.04
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
3.70
Combo
Sevilla & over 2.5 goals
1.24
81% · fair combo odds
92%chance of the result
28%goals tip: chance
0–3likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match

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Hortaleza vs Sevilla: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available61.0029.001.04
Market average44.5719.641.03
Lowest odds25.0011.001.01
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.031.0293.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.111.0885.4%
Under 2.5 goals7.006.3814.6%
Over 3.5 goals1.291.2772.0%
BTTS – yes3.503.3627.6%
BTTS – no1.291.2872.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Hortaleza 0–3 Sevilla, roughly 5 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Hortaleza 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
  • Absences: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.

Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?

Hortaleza2%
Draw5%
Sevilla92%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals93.9% · fair odds 1.07 · best 1.03
Likely
Sevilla to win92.3% · fair odds 1.08 · best 1.04
Likely
Over 2.5 goals85.4% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.11
Likely
Both teams score: no72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 3.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals28.0% · fair odds 3.57 · best 3.70
Outsider
Both teams score: yes27.6% · fair odds 3.62 · best 3.50
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals14.6% · fair odds 6.84 · best 7.00
Outsider
Draw5.4% · fair odds 18.60 · best 29.00
Outsider
Hortaleza to win2.4% · fair odds 42.54 · best 61.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.9%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 310.2%
0 : 410.2%
0 : 58.2%
0 : 27.6%
1 : 36.6%
1 : 46.6%

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: injuries, suspensions, absences

Hortaleza

  • No reported absences

Sevilla

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Hortaleza 0 wins, Sevilla 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 0–3.

What to expect

We make Sevilla the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–4, close to 5 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–3 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.04, so the goals markets are an option too: Under 3.5 goals (odds 3.70), with a probability of 28% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 28% and over 2.5 goals is 85%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Hortaleza 0 wins, 0 draws, Sevilla 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 5 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 85%.
  4. Not available: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 28%, odds up to 3.50). We project close to 5 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Hortaleza: no absences. Not available for Sevilla: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: the numbers side by side

HortalezaSevilla
100%Form0%
100%Attack0%
0%Defence100%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

HortalezaWD
Sevilla

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: head to head

All matches
0Hortaleza
0Draws
1Sevilla
29/10/26 · Hortaleza 0–3 Sevilla

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.7%

Hortaleza vs Sevilla: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Hortaleza vs Sevilla?

On the result, our pick is Sevilla to win (1.04); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (3.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Sevilla (X2).

Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?

As we see it: Hortaleza to win 2%, the draw 5%, Sevilla to win 92%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

29 October 2026, 20:00, at Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.

Who will be missing?

Hortaleza: no absences. Sevilla: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 85% chance (odds 1.11), against 15% for under 2.5 (odds 7.00).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 28% (odds 3.50).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–3 (10.2%), 0–4 (10.2%), 0–5 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.