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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:30

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense tip, odds and prediction, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Gimnástica Torrelavega
3–1
UD Ourense
1Gimnástica Torrelavega3.00
XDraw3.45
2UD Ourense2.48

Top odds available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gimnástica Torrelavega and UD Ourense meet on 29 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadio El Malecón (Torrelavega). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or UD Ourense (X2)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.76
68%chance of the result
53%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.003.452.48
Market average2.903.212.38
Lowest odds2.723.062.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.3071.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.101.9847.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.821.7852.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.703.3128.0%
BTTS – yes1.761.7353.5%
BTTS – no2.051.9946.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.9%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Gimnástica Torrelavega 1–1 UD Ourense, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Absences: Gimnástica Torrelavega 0, UD Ourense 0.

Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense?

Gimnástica Torrelavega32%
Draw29%
UD Ourense39%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.32
Likely
Over 1.5 goals71.1% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.33
Likely
Draw or UD Ourense (X2)68.0% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Both teams score: yes53.5% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.76
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.82
Possible
Over 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.10
Outsider
Both teams score: no46.5% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.05
Outsider
UD Ourense to win39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.48
Outsider
Gimnástica Torrelavega to win32.0% · fair odds 3.13 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.0% · fair odds 3.58 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.88
probability of over 50.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.6%
0 : 110.5%
1 : 09.4%
1 : 28.5%
0 : 07.8%
2 : 17.6%

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: injuries, suspensions, absences

Gimnástica Torrelavega

  • No reported absences

UD Ourense

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.6%). We see a fairly level contest.

    On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.76), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 47%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 47%.
    2. Not available: Gimnástica Torrelavega 0, UD Ourense 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

    Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.76). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Gimnástica Torrelavega: no absences. Not available for UD Ourense: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.9%

    Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense?

    On the result, our pick is Draw or UD Ourense (X2) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.76). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or UD Ourense (X2).

    Who will win Gimnástica Torrelavega vs UD Ourense?

    As we see it: Gimnástica Torrelavega to win 32%, the draw 29%, UD Ourense to win 39%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    29 October 2026, 19:30, at Estadio El Malecón, Torrelavega.

    Who will be missing?

    Gimnástica Torrelavega: no absences. UD Ourense: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.10), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.82).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.76).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 1–1 (12.6%), 0–1 (10.5%), 1–0 (9.4%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.