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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Gimnástica Segoviana
0–1
Cultural Leonesa
1Gimnástica Segoviana3.90
XDraw3.60
2Cultural Leonesa2.20

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana entertain Cultural Leonesa on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio La Albuera (Segovia). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2)
1.36
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
71%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.903.602.20
Market average3.183.402.12
Lowest odds2.833.131.91
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.841.7752.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9847.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8132.8%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.2%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 3 matches: Gimnástica Segoviana 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
  • Absences: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Gimnástica Segoviana29%
Draw27%
Cultural Leonesa44%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals74.7% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2)70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.84
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Cultural Leonesa to win43.6% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.20
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 3.00
Outsider
Gimnástica Segoviana to win29.2% · fair odds 3.42 · best 3.90
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.8%
0 : 19.4%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 07.6%
2 : 17.4%
0 : 27.3%

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: injuries, suspensions, absences

Gimnástica Segoviana

  • No reported absences

Cultural Leonesa

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 3 meetings: Gimnástica Segoviana 1 win, Cultural Leonesa 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 4–4.

What to expect

We make Cultural Leonesa the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.8%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 3; Gimnástica Segoviana 1 win, 1 draw, Cultural Leonesa 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
  4. Not available: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Gimnástica Segoviana: no absences. Not available for Cultural Leonesa: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: the numbers side by side

Gimnástica SegovianaCultural Leonesa
80%Head to head20%
57%Goals43%
68.5%Overall31.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: head to head

1Gimnástica Segoviana
1Draws
1Cultural Leonesa
27/10/26 · Gimnástica Segoviana 0–1 Cultural Leonesa
16/3/25 · Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa
15/12/24 · Cultural Leonesa 2–3 Gimnástica Segoviana

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2) (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2).

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

As we see it: Gimnástica Segoviana to win 29%, the draw 27%, Cultural Leonesa to win 44%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 19:00, at Estadio La Albuera, Segovia.

Who will be missing?

Gimnástica Segoviana: no absences. Cultural Leonesa: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.84), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.8%), 0–1 (9.4%), 1–2 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.