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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Conquense vs Castellón tip, odds and prediction, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Conquense
0–3
1Conquense5.25
XDraw3.85
2Castellón1.70

Top odds available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Conquense entertain Castellón on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio La Fuensanta. Castellón (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Conquense vs Castellón: tip and prediction
Result
Castellón to win
1.70
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.85
Combo
Castellón & over 2.5 goals
3.17
32% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
53%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Castellón (X2) – probability 81%, odds up to 1.18.

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Conquense vs Castellón: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.253.851.70
Market average4.933.601.68
Lowest odds4.563.471.65
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3170.4%
Over 2.5 goals2.011.9747.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.851.7752.6%
Over 3.5 goals3.703.2728.4%
BTTS – yes1.931.9049.0%
BTTS – no1.911.8251.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.8%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Conquense 0–1 Castellón, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Conquense 0W 0D 2L, goals 0–4.
  • Absences: Conquense 0, Castellón 0.

Who will win Conquense vs Castellón?

Conquense19%
Draw26%
Castellón55%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Conquense vs Castellón: more betting markets

Draw or Castellón (X2)81.2% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.18
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.6% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.40
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.4% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.34
Likely
Castellón to win55.4% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams score: yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.93
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.01
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.4% · fair odds 3.52 · best 3.70
Outsider
Draw25.8% · fair odds 3.87 · best 3.85
Outsider
Conquense to win18.8% · fair odds 5.31 · best 5.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

0 : 112.9%
1 : 111.6%
0 : 210.6%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 07.8%
1 : 07.0%

Conquense vs Castellón: injuries, suspensions, absences

Conquense

  • No reported absences

Castellón

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Conquense vs Castellón: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Conquense 0 wins, Castellón 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 0–4.

What to expect

We make Castellón the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (12.9%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 49% and over 2.5 goals is 47%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 2; Conquense 0 wins, 0 draws, Castellón 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 47%.
  4. Not available: Conquense 0, Castellón 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 51%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Conquense: no absences. Not available for Castellón: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Conquense vs Castellón: the numbers side by side

ConquenseCastellón
0%Head to head100%
0%Goals100%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Conquense vs Castellón: head to head

All matches
0Conquense
0Draws
2Castellón
29/10/26 · Conquense 0–3 Castellón
5/9/18 · Castellón 1–0 Conquense

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Conquense vs Castellón: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Conquense vs Castellón?

On the result, our pick is Castellón to win (1.70); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.85). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Castellón (X2).

Who will win Conquense vs Castellón?

As we see it: Conquense to win 19%, the draw 26%, Castellón to win 55%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

29 October 2026, 19:00, at Estadio La Fuensanta.

Who will be missing?

Conquense: no absences. Castellón: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 47% chance (odds 2.01), against 53% for under 2.5 (odds 1.85).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 1.93).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–1 (12.9%), 1–1 (11.6%), 0–2 (10.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.