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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Ciudad de Lucena
0–1
Rayo Majadahonda
1Ciudad de Lucena3.40
XDraw3.70
2Rayo Majadahonda2.10

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena v Rayo Majadahonda takes place on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Nuevo Estadio Municipal. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2)
1.36
Goals
Both teams to score
1.72
71%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.403.702.10
Market average3.253.522.07
Lowest odds3.153.302.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2672.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.871.8550.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.8849.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0630.0%
BTTS – yes1.721.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.152.0445.5%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Ciudad de Lucena 1–1 Rayo Majadahonda, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Ciudad de Lucena 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1.
  • Absences: Ciudad de Lucena 0, Rayo Majadahonda 0.

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Ciudad de Lucena29%
Draw26%
Rayo Majadahonda45%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals72.9% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.29
Likely
Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2)71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.34
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.72
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.15
Outsider
Rayo Majadahonda to win44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.0% · fair odds 3.33 · best 3.25
Outsider
Ciudad de Lucena to win28.6% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw26.5% · fair odds 3.78 · best 3.70
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.2%
0 : 110.6%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 08.1%
0 : 27.9%
0 : 07.1%

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: injuries, suspensions, absences

Ciudad de Lucena

  • No reported absences

Rayo Majadahonda

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Ciudad de Lucena 0 wins, Rayo Majadahonda 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 0–1.

What to expect

We make Rayo Majadahonda the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.2%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.72), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 50%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 1; Ciudad de Lucena 0 wins, 0 draws, Rayo Majadahonda 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 1.0 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 50%.
  4. Not available: Ciudad de Lucena 0, Rayo Majadahonda 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.72). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Ciudad de Lucena: no absences. Not available for Rayo Majadahonda: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: head to head

0Ciudad de Lucena
0Draws
1Rayo Majadahonda
27/10/26 · Ciudad de Lucena 0–1 Rayo Majadahonda

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.5%

Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2) (1.36); on goals, Both teams to score (1.72). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Rayo Majadahonda (X2).

Who will win Ciudad de Lucena vs Rayo Majadahonda?

As we see it: Ciudad de Lucena to win 29%, the draw 26%, Rayo Majadahonda to win 45%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 19:00, at Nuevo Estadio Municipal.

Who will be missing?

Ciudad de Lucena: no absences. Rayo Majadahonda: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.87), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.72).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.2%), 0–1 (10.6%), 1–2 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.