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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 4 November 2026 · 19:45

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete tip, odds and prediction, 4 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Calvo Sotelo
VS
1Calvo Sotelo5.80
XDraw4.60
2Albacete1.58

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 00:30

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Calvo Sotelo v Albacete takes place on 4 November 2026 · 19:45 at New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano (Puertollano). We back Albacete (60%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: tip and prediction
Result
Albacete to win
1.58
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Albacete & over 2.5 goals
2.46
41% · fair combo odds
60%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Albacete (X2) – probability 82%, odds up to 1.17.

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Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available5.804.601.58
Market average5.234.231.55
Lowest odds4.804.001.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1779.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.601.5958.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.2541.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.552.4437.7%
BTTS – yes1.701.6655.8%
BTTS – no2.152.1044.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 00:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Calvo Sotelo 1–2 Albacete, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

Calvo Sotelo18%
Draw22%
Albacete60%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: more betting markets

Draw or Albacete (X2)82.2% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals79.2% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.19
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.3% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.50
Likely
Albacete to win60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.58
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.6% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.60
Possible
Both teams score: yes55.8% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: no44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.15
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.4% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.38
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.7% · fair odds 2.65 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw22.0% · fair odds 4.55 · best 4.60
Outsider
Calvo Sotelo to win17.8% · fair odds 5.61 · best 5.80
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.7%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 210.0%
0 : 210.0%
1 : 110.0%
0 : 110.0%
0 : 36.6%
1 : 36.6%

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: injuries, suspensions, absences

Calvo Sotelo

  • No reported absences

Albacete

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We make Albacete the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–2 (10.0%). We expect goals and an open game.

    On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
    2. Not available: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.60). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Calvo Sotelo: no absences. Not available for Albacete: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.6%

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    On the result, our pick is Albacete to win (1.58); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Albacete (X2).

    Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    As we see it: Calvo Sotelo to win 18%, the draw 22%, Albacete to win 60%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    4 November 2026, 19:45, at New Municipal Stadium Ciudad de Puertollano, Puertollano.

    Who will be missing?

    Calvo Sotelo: no absences. Albacete: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.60), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 1–2 (10.0%), 0–2 (10.0%), 1–1 (10.0%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.