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Ligue 3 · Matchweek 11 · 31 October 2026 · 13:45

Bastia vs Quevilly tip, odds and prediction, 31 October 2026, Ligue 3

WDDLD
2–0
1Bastia2.00
XDraw3.45
2Quevilly3.99

Top odds available · Updated 31/10/26, 10:09

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bastia and Quevilly meet on 31 October 2026 · 13:45 at Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia). Bastia (47%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Bastia vs Quevilly: tip and prediction
Result
Bastia to win
2.00
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
47%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bastia or draw (1X) – probability 75%, odds up to 1.29.

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Bastia vs Quevilly: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.003.453.99
Market average1.933.283.58
Lowest odds1.863.003.30
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3369.7%
Over 2.5 goals2.112.0445.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.7154.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.903.5725.9%
BTTS – yes2.001.8549.6%
BTTS – no1.911.8350.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 10:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Bastia 1–1 Quevilly, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Bastia 11th (15 points), Quevilly 13th (13 points).
  • Form in the competition: Bastia 3W 3D 4L (8:12), Quevilly 3W 4D 3L (11:14).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Bastia 6W 3D 1L, goals 13–5.
  • Absences: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.

Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?

Bastia47%
Draw28%
Quevilly25%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Bastia vs Quevilly: more betting markets

Bastia or draw (1X)74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals74.1% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.28
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.7% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.34
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: no50.4% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams score: yes49.6% · fair odds 2.02 · best 2.00
Outsider
Bastia to win46.9% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.11
Outsider
Draw27.7% · fair odds 3.61 · best 3.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.9% · fair odds 3.86 · best 3.90
Outsider
Quevilly to win25.4% · fair odds 3.94 · best 3.99
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.5%
1 : 012.5%
2 : 19.1%
2 : 09.1%
0 : 18.6%
0 : 08.6%

Bastia vs Quevilly: injuries, suspensions, absences

Bastia

  • No reported absences

Quevilly

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Bastia vs Quevilly: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1La Roche VF117-3-118:1024
2Rouen117-2-220:923
3Versailles117-1-319:1322
4Caen116-1-421:1519
5Cannes114-6-114:718
6Le Puy Foot115-2-414:1117
7Concarneau114-5-214:1117
8Amiens114-5-214:517
9Fleury 91114-4-317:1316
10Gobelins114-4-311:1116
11Bastia114-3-410:1215
12Thionville Lusitanos113-4-416:1713
13Quevilly113-4-411:1613
14Orléans112-4-510:1510
15Valenciennes112-3-611:179
16Villefranche112-2-710:248
17Aubagne112-1-86:177
18Bourg-en-bresse 01111-2-85:185

Recent matches

Bastia

31 OctWBastia 2–0 Quevilly
17 OctDConcarneau 1–1 Bastia
1 OctDBastia 1–1 Orléans
26 SeptLGobelins 1–0 Bastia
17 SeptDBastia 1–1 Cannes

Quevilly

31 OctLBastia 2–0 Quevilly
17 OctWQuevilly 3–2 Orléans
3 OctLCannes 3–1 Quevilly
26 SeptDQuevilly 1–1 Amiens
19 SeptDVersailles 0–0 Quevilly

Home and away

Bastia at home6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 6–10
Quevilly away6 matches: 0W 2D 4L, goals 2–10

Bastia vs Quevilly: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Bastia: 11th, 15 points from 11 matches (4W 3D 4L). Quevilly: 13th, 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bastia 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded, Quevilly 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Bastia: 3W 3D 4L, goals 8–12; Quevilly: 3W 4D 3L, goals 11–14.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Bastia 6 wins, Quevilly 1 win, plus 3 draws; goals 13–5.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.5%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 46%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 10; Bastia 6 wins, 3 draws, Quevilly 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 1.8 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Bastia 8–12, Quevilly 11–14.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 46%.
  5. Not available: Bastia 0, Quevilly 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 50%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Bastia: no absences. Not available for Quevilly: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Bastia vs Quevilly: the numbers side by side

BastiaQuevilly
43%Form57%
36%Attack64%
64%Defence36%
62%Head to head38%
71%Goals29%
55.3%Overall44.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

BastiaWDDLD
QuevillyLWLDD

Bastia vs Quevilly: head to head

All matches
6Bastia
3Draws
1Quevilly
31/10/26 · Bastia 2–0 Quevilly
10/2/24 · Quevilly 0–1 Bastia
16/12/23 · Bastia 0–0 Quevilly
11/2/23 · Bastia 0–1 Quevilly
10/1/23 · Quevilly 1–1 Bastia
8/1/22 · Bastia 3–0 Quevilly

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.3%

Bastia vs Quevilly: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Bastia vs Quevilly?

On the result, our pick is Bastia to win (2.00); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Bastia or draw (1X).

Who will win Bastia vs Quevilly?

As we see it: Bastia to win 47%, the draw 28%, Quevilly to win 25%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

31 October 2026, 13:45, at Stade Armand Cesari, Bastia.

Who will be missing?

Bastia: no absences. Quevilly: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 46% chance (odds 2.11), against 54% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 2.00).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.5%), 1–0 (12.5%), 2–1 (9.1%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Valenciennes vs Orléans 5 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.