Premier League
Home › Predictions › Arosa vs Pontevedra
Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Arosa vs Pontevedra tip, odds and prediction, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Arosa
2–0
Pontevedra
1Arosa4.75
XDraw3.75
2Pontevedra1.81

Top odds available · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

MINO CASINOBet with MINO CASINO →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Arosa entertain Pontevedra on 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal da Lomba (Vilagarcía de Arousa). Pontevedra (52%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Arosa vs Pontevedra: tip and prediction
Result
Pontevedra to win
1.81
Goals
Both teams to score
1.75
Combo
Pontevedra & over 2.5 goals
3.06
33% · fair combo odds
52%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Pontevedra (X2) – probability 78%, odds up to 1.22.

Bet now →

Arosa vs Pontevedra: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.753.751.81
Market average4.263.581.76
Lowest odds3.703.211.73
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2473.9%
Over 2.5 goals1.871.8151.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9348.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.8931.8%
BTTS – yes1.751.7253.7%
BTTS – no2.022.0046.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.5%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Arosa 1–1 Pontevedra, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 4 matches: Arosa 2W 1D 1L, goals 6–3.
  • Absences: Arosa 0, Pontevedra 0.

Who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra?

Arosa22%
Draw26%
Pontevedra52%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Arosa vs Pontevedra: more betting markets

Draw or Pontevedra (X2)78.3% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.22
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.9% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.38
Likely
Both teams score: yes53.7% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Pontevedra to win52.5% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.81
Possible
Over 2.5 goals51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.87
Possible
Under 2.5 goals48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.97
Outsider
Both teams score: no46.3% · fair odds 2.16 · best 2.02
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.8% · fair odds 3.15 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw25.8% · fair odds 3.88 · best 3.75
Outsider
Arosa to win21.7% · fair odds 4.60 · best 4.75
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.86 · Under 1.86
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.4%
0 : 111.4%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 29.7%
1 : 06.7%
0 : 06.7%

Arosa vs Pontevedra: injuries, suspensions, absences

Arosa

  • No reported absences

Pontevedra

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Arosa vs Pontevedra: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Arosa 2 wins, Pontevedra 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 6–3.

What to expect

We make Pontevedra the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 4; Arosa 2 wins, 1 draw, Pontevedra 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
  4. Not available: Arosa 0, Pontevedra 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Arosa: no absences. Not available for Pontevedra: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Arosa vs Pontevedra: the numbers side by side

ArosaPontevedra
50%Head to head50%
57%Goals43%
53.5%Overall46.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Arosa vs Pontevedra: head to head

2Arosa
1Draws
1Pontevedra
27/10/26 · Arosa 2–0 Pontevedra
1/8/26 · Arosa 3–1 Pontevedra
17/4/22 · Arosa 1–1 Pontevedra
28/11/21 · Pontevedra 1–0 Arosa

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.5%

Arosa vs Pontevedra: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Arosa vs Pontevedra?

On the result, our pick is Pontevedra to win (1.81); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Pontevedra (X2).

Who will win Arosa vs Pontevedra?

As we see it: Arosa to win 22%, the draw 26%, Pontevedra to win 52%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

27 October 2026, 20:00, at Estadio Municipal da Lomba, Vilagarcía de Arousa.

Who will be missing?

Arosa: no absences. Pontevedra: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.87), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.75).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 0–1 (11.4%), 1–2 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Pamplona vs Eibar 3 NovAnaitasuna vs Alavés 3 NovPortugalete vs Real Unión 4 NovAmorebieta vs UD Logroñés 4 NovDeportiva Minera vs FC Cartagena 4 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.