Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Amiens entertain Thionville Lusitanos on 29 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de la Licorne (Amiens). Amiens (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.72 | 4.13 | 5.00 |
| Market average | 1.64 | 3.65 | 4.64 |
| Lowest odds | 1.58 | 3.26 | 4.02 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 74.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.80 | 51.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.94 | 48.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 51.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.91 | 48.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 10.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Amiens 1–0 Thionville Lusitanos, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Amiens 8th (17 points), Thionville Lusitanos 12th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Amiens 4W 4D 2L (13:4), Thionville Lusitanos 3W 3D 4L (15:16).
- H2H: 1 match: Amiens 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Absences: Amiens 0, Thionville Lusitanos 0.
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: injuries, suspensions, absences
Amiens
- No reported absences
Thionville Lusitanos
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  La Roche VF | 11 | 7-3-1 | 18:10 | 24 |
| 2 |  Rouen | 11 | 7-2-2 | 20:9 | 23 |
| 3 |  Versailles | 11 | 7-1-3 | 19:13 | 22 |
| 4 |  Caen | 11 | 6-1-4 | 21:15 | 19 |
| 5 |  Cannes | 11 | 4-6-1 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 6 |  Le Puy Foot | 11 | 5-2-4 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 7 |  Concarneau | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 8 | Amiens | 11 | 4-5-2 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 9 |  Fleury 91 | 11 | 4-4-3 | 17:13 | 16 |
| 10 |  Gobelins | 11 | 4-4-3 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 11 |  Bastia | 11 | 4-3-4 | 10:12 | 15 |
| 12 | Thionville Lusitanos | 11 | 3-4-4 | 16:17 | 13 |
| 13 |  Quevilly | 11 | 3-4-4 | 11:16 | 13 |
| 14 |  Orléans | 11 | 2-4-5 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 15 |  Valenciennes | 11 | 2-3-6 | 11:17 | 9 |
| 16 |  Villefranche | 11 | 2-2-7 | 10:24 | 8 |
| 17 |  Aubagne | 11 | 2-1-8 | 6:17 | 7 |
| 18 |  Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 11 | 1-2-8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Recent matches
Amiens
Home and away
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Amiens: 8th, 17 points from 11 matches (4W 5D 2L). Thionville Lusitanos: 12th, 13 points (3W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Amiens 1.3 scored and 0.4 conceded, Thionville Lusitanos 1.5 scored and 1.6 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Amiens: 4W 4D 2L, goals 13–4; Thionville Lusitanos: 3W 3D 4L, goals 15–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: Amiens 0 wins, Thionville Lusitanos 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 1–1.
What to expect
We make Amiens the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (11.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.84), with a probability of 52% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; Amiens 0 wins, 1 draw, Thionville Lusitanos 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Amiens 13–4, Thionville Lusitanos 15–16.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: Amiens 0, Thionville Lusitanos 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Amiens: no absences. Not available for Thionville Lusitanos: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AmiensDDWDWThionville LusitanosDLLLDAmiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: head to head
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Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
On the result, our pick is Amiens to win (1.72); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.84). Prefer less risk? Go for Amiens or draw (1X).
Who will win Amiens vs Thionville Lusitanos?
As we see it: Amiens to win 55%, the draw 25%, Thionville Lusitanos to win 20%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
29 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade de la Licorne, Amiens.
Who will be missing?
Amiens: no absences. Thionville Lusitanos: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.84), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.83).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (11.8%), 1–1 (11.2%), 2–0 (10.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.