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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 5 November 2026 · 20:00

Alcoyano vs Mallorca tip, odds and prediction, 5 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Alcoyano
VS
1Alcoyano6.50
XDraw4.20
2Mallorca1.56

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 02:15

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Alcoyano and Mallorca meet on 5 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio El Collao (Alcoy). Mallorca (61%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Alcoyano vs Mallorca: tip and prediction
Result
Mallorca to win
1.56
Goals
At least one team fails to score
1.80
Combo
Mallorca & over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · fair combo odds
61%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Mallorca (X2) – probability 85%, odds up to 1.17.

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Alcoyano vs Mallorca: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available6.504.201.56
Market average6.193.831.53
Lowest odds5.753.631.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.331.2971.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.001.9448.2%
Under 2.5 goals1.851.8151.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.2528.4%
BTTS – yes2.102.0046.4%
BTTS – no1.801.7353.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 02:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Alcoyano 0–1 Mallorca, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Absences: Alcoyano 0, Mallorca 0.

Who will win Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

Alcoyano15%
Draw24%
Mallorca61%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Alcoyano vs Mallorca: more betting markets

Draw or Mallorca (X2)85.0% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.17
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.6% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 1.5 goals71.2% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.33
Likely
Mallorca to win60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.56
Likely
Both teams score: no53.6% · fair odds 1.87 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Over 2.5 goals48.2% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both teams score: yes46.4% · fair odds 2.15 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.4% · fair odds 3.52 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw24.3% · fair odds 4.11 · best 4.20
Outsider
Alcoyano to win15.0% · fair odds 6.65 · best 6.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.67 · Under 2.06
probability of over 55.2%

Most likely correct scores

0 : 113.4%
0 : 212.0%
1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 07.4%
0 : 37.2%

Alcoyano vs Mallorca: injuries, suspensions, absences

Alcoyano

  • No reported absences

Mallorca

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Alcoyano vs Mallorca: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We make Mallorca the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (13.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

    On goals we like At least one team fails to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
    2. Not available: Alcoyano 0, Mallorca 0.

    Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

    Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 54%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Alcoyano: no absences. Not available for Mallorca: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.5%

    Alcoyano vs Mallorca: common questions

    Which bet do we recommend for Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

    On the result, our pick is Mallorca to win (1.56); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Mallorca (X2).

    Who will win Alcoyano vs Mallorca?

    As we see it: Alcoyano to win 15%, the draw 24%, Mallorca to win 61%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    5 November 2026, 20:00, at Estadio El Collao, Alcoy.

    Who will be missing?

    Alcoyano: no absences. Mallorca: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.00), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 1.85).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.10).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 0–1 (13.4%), 0–2 (12.0%), 1–1 (10.7%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.