Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon entertain Mansfield Town on 20 October 2026 · 19:45 at Plough Lane (Wimbledon). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.47 | 3.61 | 2.17 |
| Market average | 3.32 | 3.41 | 2.09 |
| Lowest odds | 3.12 | 3.14 | 2.04 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.98 | 47.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.92 | 31.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.14 | 43.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: AFC Wimbledon 1–1 Mansfield Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: AFC Wimbledon 18th (13 points), Mansfield Town 12th (18 points).
- Absences: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: injuries, suspensions, absences
AFC Wimbledon
- No reported absences
Mansfield Town
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8-4-1 | 27:11 | 28 | |
| 2 | 14 | 8-2-4 | 26:14 | 26 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6-5-1 | 20:11 | 23 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7-2-4 | 26:20 | 23 | |
| 5 | 14 | 7-2-5 | 21:19 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 25:13 | 22 | |
| 7 | 13 | 6-4-3 | 10:8 | 22 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5-6-3 | 21:21 | 21 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5-5-3 | 22:14 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5-4-4 | 22:19 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 22:20 | 18 | |
| 12 | 12 | 5-3-4 | 20:18 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 4-6-3 | 21:23 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5-2-6 | 19:14 | 17 | |
| 15 | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:21 | 17 | |
| 16 | 12 | 4-4-4 | 17:13 | 16 | |
| 17 | 12 | 3-5-4 | 13:14 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3-4-6 | 9:21 | 13 | |
| 19 | 12 | 3-3-6 | 17:21 | 12 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3-3-7 | 14:22 | 12 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3-1-9 | 11:22 | 10 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2-4-7 | 11:23 | 10 | |
| 23 | 12 | 2-3-7 | 12:22 | 9 | |
| 24 | 13 | 2-3-8 | 13:33 | 9 |
Recent matches
AFC Wimbledon
Home and away
AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. AFC Wimbledon: 18th, 13 points from 13 matches (3W 4D 6L). Mansfield Town: 12th, 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
What to expect
We make Mansfield Town the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 52%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 52%.
- Not available: AFC Wimbledon 0, Mansfield Town 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Not available for Mansfield Town: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Mansfield Town (X2) (1.34); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Mansfield Town (X2).
Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield Town?
As we see it: AFC Wimbledon to win 28%, the draw 27%, Mansfield Town to win 45%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 19:45, at Plough Lane, Wimbledon.
Who will be missing?
AFC Wimbledon: no absences. Mansfield Town: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 52% chance (odds 1.85), against 48% for under 2.5 (odds 2.04).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 0–1 (9.9%), 1–2 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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