Taça da Liga
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Sporting CP v Marítimo takes place on 27 October 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon); I. Vasilica will referee. We back Sporting CP (70%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.35 | 5.69 | 8.50 |
| Market average | 1.31 | 5.24 | 7.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.25 | 4.73 | 6.18 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.12 | 82.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.60 | 35.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.26 | 2.16 | 43.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 53.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.00 | 46.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–0 Marítimo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Marítimo 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Marítimo
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
What to expect
We make Sporting CP the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 64%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 64%.
- Not available: Sporting CP 0, Marítimo 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sporting CP: no absences. Not available for Marítimo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Returns calculator
Sporting CP vs Marítimo: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
On the result, our pick is Sporting CP to win (1.35); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Sporting CP or draw (1X).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Marítimo?
As we see it: Sporting CP to win 70%, the draw 18%, Marítimo to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 20:15, at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: I. Vasilica.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Marítimo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 64% chance (odds 1.50), against 36% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.6%), 1–0 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.