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Taça da Liga · quarter-final · 29 October 2026 · 18:45

SC Braga vs Famalicão tip, odds and prediction, 29 October 2026, Taça da Liga

1SC Braga1.77
XDraw3.66
2Famalicão5.50

Top odds available · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SC Braga entertain Famalicão on 29 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga), with J. Gonçalves the man in the middle. SC Braga (55%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: tip and prediction
Result
SC Braga to win
1.77
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
Combo
SC Braga & over 2.5 goals
3.31
30% · fair combo odds
55%chance of the result
56%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: SC Braga or draw (1X) – probability 82%, odds up to 1.17.

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SC Braga vs Famalicão: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.773.665.50
Market average1.683.485.09
Lowest odds1.623.264.37
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.3668.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.252.1543.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.6756.3%
Over 3.5 goals4.103.8724.1%
BTTS – yes2.102.0246.0%
BTTS – no1.851.7254.0%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.1%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: SC Braga 1–0 Famalicão, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 15 matches: SC Braga 5W 8D 2L, goals 29–22.
  • Absences: SC Braga 0, Famalicão 0.

Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicão?

SC Braga55%
Draw27%
Famalicão18%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: more betting markets

SC Braga or draw (1X)81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Under 3.5 goals75.9% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 2.5 goals56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.75
Possible
SC Braga to win55.1% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.77
Possible
Both teams score: no54.0% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: yes46.0% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.25
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.66
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.1% · fair odds 4.15 · best 4.10
Outsider
Famalicão to win18.3% · fair odds 5.48 · best 5.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.4%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 014.5%
2 : 011.6%
1 : 111.6%
2 : 19.3%
0 : 09.1%
0 : 17.3%

SC Braga vs Famalicão: injuries, suspensions, absences

SC Braga

  • No reported absences

Famalicão

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: SC Braga 5 wins, Famalicão 2 wins, plus 8 draws; goals 29–22.

What to expect

We make SC Braga the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (14.5%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), with a probability of 56% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 44%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 15; SC Braga 5 wins, 8 draws, Famalicão 2 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.4 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 44%.
  4. Not available: SC Braga 0, Famalicão 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: no

Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 54%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for SC Braga: no absences. Not available for Famalicão: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: the numbers side by side

SC BragaFamalicão
75%Head to head25%
56%Goals44%
65.5%Overall34.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: head to head

All matches
5SC Braga
8Draws
2Famalicão
29/10/26 · SC Braga 2–2 Famalicão
19/4/26 · SC Braga 2–2 Famalicão
6/12/25 · Famalicão 1–2 SC Braga
25/4/25 · Famalicão 1–1 SC Braga
16/12/24 · SC Braga 3–3 Famalicão
18/1/24 · Famalicão 1–2 SC Braga

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

SC Braga vs Famalicão: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for SC Braga vs Famalicão?

On the result, our pick is SC Braga to win (1.77); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for SC Braga or draw (1X).

Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicão?

As we see it: SC Braga to win 55%, the draw 27%, Famalicão to win 18%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

29 October 2026, 18:45, at Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga. Referee: J. Gonçalves.

Who will be missing?

SC Braga: no absences. Famalicão: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 44% chance (odds 2.25), against 56% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.10).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (14.5%), 2–0 (11.6%), 1–1 (11.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.