KNVB Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Helmond Sport and Willem II meet on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at MySteel Stadion (Helmond), under referee M. Vos. Willem II (47%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.60 | 3.80 | 2.06 |
| Market average | 3.34 | 3.64 | 1.95 |
| Lowest odds | 2.90 | 3.28 | 1.87 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 81.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 | 1.48 | 62.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.43 | 37.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.23 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.45 | 63.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.56 | 2.53 | 36.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 27/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Helmond Sport 1–1 Willem II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: injuries, suspensions, absences
Helmond Sport
- No reported absences
Willem II
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
What to expect
We make Willem II the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 64% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: Helmond Sport 0, Willem II 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Helmond Sport: no absences. Not available for Willem II: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Returns calculator
Helmond Sport vs Willem II: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
On the result, our pick is Willem II to win (2.06); on goals, Both teams to score (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Willem II (X2).
Who will win Helmond Sport vs Willem II?
As we see it: Helmond Sport to win 28%, the draw 25%, Willem II to win 47%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
27 October 2026, 19:00, at MySteel Stadion, Helmond. Referee: M. Vos.
Who will be missing?
Helmond Sport: no absences. Willem II: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.53), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 64% (odds 1.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.4%), 1–2 (9.4%), 0–1 (7.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.