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Taça da Liga · quarter-final · 28 October 2026 · 20:30

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu tip, odds and prediction, 28 October 2026, Taça da Liga

1FC Porto1.36
XDraw5.10
2Académico Viseu8.89

Top odds available · Updated 28/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Porto and Académico Viseu meet on 28 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio Do Dragão (Porto), under referee S. Guelho. FC Porto (70%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: tip and prediction
Result
FC Porto to win
1.36
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Combo
FC Porto & over 2.5 goals
2.16
46% · fair combo odds
70%chance of the result
64%goals tip: chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Porto or draw (1X) – probability 89%, odds up to 1.07.

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FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.365.108.89
Market average1.344.978.43
Lowest odds1.334.807.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.211.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.671.6557.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.302.2142.8%
Over 3.5 goals2.632.5736.2%
BTTS – yes2.001.9547.4%
BTTS – no1.781.7652.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Académico Viseu, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 6 matches: FC Porto 5W 1D 0L, goals 14–3.
  • Absences: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

FC Porto70%
Draw19%
Académico Viseu11%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: more betting markets

FC Porto or draw (1X)88.9% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.07
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.21
Likely
FC Porto to win70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.8% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.51
Likely
Over 2.5 goals57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Both teams score: no52.6% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.78
Possible
Both teams score: yes47.4% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.8% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals36.2% · fair odds 2.76 · best 2.63
Outsider
Draw18.9% · fair odds 5.30 · best 5.10
Outsider
Académico Viseu to win11.1% · fair odds 8.98 · best 8.89
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.92 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.5%

Most likely correct scores

2 : 012.7%
1 : 011.5%
2 : 19.5%
3 : 09.3%
1 : 18.6%
3 : 17.0%

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: injuries, suspensions, absences

FC Porto

  • No reported absences

Académico Viseu

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Head to head. Head to head over 6 meetings: FC Porto 5 wins, Académico Viseu 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 14–3.

What to expect

We make FC Porto the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (12.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 47% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 6; FC Porto 5 wins, 1 draw, Académico Viseu 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
  3. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
  4. Not available: FC Porto 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for FC Porto: no absences. Not available for Académico Viseu: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: the numbers side by side

FC PortoAcadémico Viseu
100%Head to head0%
87%Goals13%
87.0%Overall13.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: head to head

All matches
5FC Porto
1Draws
0Académico Viseu
29/8/26 · Académico Viseu 0–3 FC Porto
8/2/23 · Académico Viseu 0–1 FC Porto
25/1/23 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
17/7/21 · FC Porto 3–2 Académico Viseu
12/2/20 · FC Porto 3–0 Académico Viseu
4/2/20 · Académico Viseu 1–1 FC Porto

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

FC Porto vs Académico Viseu: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

On the result, our pick is FC Porto to win (1.36); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.51). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Porto or draw (1X).

Who will win FC Porto vs Académico Viseu?

As we see it: FC Porto to win 70%, the draw 19%, Académico Viseu to win 11%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

28 October 2026, 20:30, at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto. Referee: S. Guelho.

Who will be missing?

FC Porto: no absences. Académico Viseu: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.67), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 47% (odds 2.00).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (12.7%), 1–0 (11.5%), 2–1 (9.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.