EFL Cup
Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Everton and Newcastle meet on 29 October 2026 · 19:45 at Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool), under referee F. Hallam. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Everton vs Newcastle: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.44 | 3.56 | 3.15 |
| Market average | 2.34 | 3.46 | 2.94 |
| Lowest odds | 2.21 | 3.22 | 2.73 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.67 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.19 | 43.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.62 | 35.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.53 | 60.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.37 | 39.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Everton 1–1 Newcastle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Everton 2W 0D 0L (5:0), Newcastle 2W 0D 0L (4:2).
- H2H: 32 matches: Everton 17W 5D 10L, goals 53–41.
- Absences: Everton 0, Newcastle 0.
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Everton vs Newcastle: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Everton vs Newcastle: injuries, suspensions, absences
Everton
- No reported absences
Newcastle
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Everton vs Newcastle: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Everton 2.5 scored and 0.0 conceded, Newcastle 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Everton: 2W 0D 0L, goals 5–0; Newcastle: 2W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Head to head. Head to head over 32 meetings: Everton 17 wins, Newcastle 10 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 53–41.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 32; Everton 17 wins, 5 draws, Newcastle 10 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Everton 5–0, Newcastle 4–2.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Everton 0, Newcastle 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Everton: no absences. Not available for Newcastle: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Everton vs Newcastle: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
EvertonWWNewcastleWWEverton vs Newcastle: head to head
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Everton vs Newcastle: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Everton vs Newcastle?
On the result, our pick is Everton or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Everton or draw (1X).
Who will win Everton vs Newcastle?
As we see it: Everton to win 40%, the draw 27%, Newcastle to win 32%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
29 October 2026, 19:45, at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. Referee: F. Hallam.
Who will be missing?
Everton: no absences. Newcastle: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.72), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.25).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–1 (8.9%), 1–0 (8.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.