Played: final score 4–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Benfica entertain GIL Vicente on 29 October 2026 · 20:45 at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz) (Lisbon), with J. Bessa the man in the middle. Benfica (74%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.28 | 6.46 | 10.05 |
| Market average | 1.25 | 5.83 | 9.31 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 5.32 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.09 | 84.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.38 | 67.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.01 | 2.84 | 32.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.04 | 1.99 | 47.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 29/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Benfica 2–0 GIL Vicente, roughly 4 goals in total.
- H2H: 23 matches: Benfica 19W 2D 2L, goals 57–16.
- Absences: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: injuries, suspensions, absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
GIL Vicente
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Head to head. Head to head over 23 meetings: Benfica 19 wins, GIL Vicente 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 57–16.
What to expect
We make Benfica the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (10.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.28, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 67%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 23; Benfica 19 wins, 2 draws, GIL Vicente 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.2 per match.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 67%.
- Not available: Benfica 0, GIL Vicente 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Benfica: no absences. Not available for GIL Vicente: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Benfica vs GIL Vicente: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
On the result, our pick is Benfica to win (1.28); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Benfica or draw (1X).
Who will win Benfica vs GIL Vicente?
As we see it: Benfica to win 74%, the draw 16%, GIL Vicente to win 10%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
29 October 2026, 20:45, at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisbon. Referee: J. Bessa.
Who will be missing?
Benfica: no absences. GIL Vicente: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 67% chance (odds 1.42), against 33% for under 2.5 (odds 3.01).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (10.7%), 3–0 (9.3%), 2–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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