Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 5–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen and 1. FC Nürnberg meet on 28 October 2026 · 19:45 at BayArena (Bayer Leverkusen), under referee Felix Zwayer. Bayer Leverkusen (74%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.28 | 6.39 | 9.00 |
| Market average | 1.27 | 6.05 | 8.78 |
| Lowest odds | 1.26 | 5.75 | 8.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.07 | 1.06 | 88.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.28 | 72.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.60 | 3.43 | 27.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.75 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.54 | 60.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.32 | 39.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 28/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 1. FC Nürnberg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Form in the competition: Bayer Leverkusen 1W 0D 0L (4:0), 1. FC Nürnberg 0W 1D 0L (1:1).
- H2H: 11 matches: Bayer Leverkusen 7W 2D 2L, goals 22–9.
- Absences: Bayer Leverkusen 0, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: injuries, suspensions, absences
Bayer Leverkusen
- No reported absences
1. FC Nürnberg
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Bayer Leverkusen 4.0 scored and 0.0 conceded, 1. FC Nürnberg 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Bayer Leverkusen: 1W 0D 0L, goals 4–0; 1. FC Nürnberg: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
- Head to head. Head to head over 11 meetings: Bayer Leverkusen 7 wins, 1. FC Nürnberg 2 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 22–9.
What to expect
We make Bayer Leverkusen the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (8.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.28, so the goals markets are an option too: Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 60% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 73%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 11; Bayer Leverkusen 7 wins, 2 draws, 1. FC Nürnberg 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Bayer Leverkusen 4–0, 1. FC Nürnberg 1–1.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 73%.
- Not available: Bayer Leverkusen 0, 1. FC Nürnberg 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 60%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. Not available for 1. FC Nürnberg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Bayer LeverkusenW1. FC NürnbergDBayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
On the result, our pick is Bayer Leverkusen to win (1.28); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Bayer Leverkusen or draw (1X).
Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nürnberg?
As we see it: Bayer Leverkusen to win 74%, the draw 16%, 1. FC Nürnberg to win 11%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
28 October 2026, 19:45, at BayArena, Bayer Leverkusen. Referee: Felix Zwayer.
Who will be missing?
Bayer Leverkusen: no absences. 1. FC Nürnberg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 73% chance (odds 1.31), against 27% for under 2.5 (odds 3.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (8.9%), 2–0 (8.9%), 3–1 (8.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.